ItmayevenhavefallensofarshortoftimedemandassomewhattoraisethepriceofthosemetalsintheEuropeanmarket。
Thequantityofbrassandironannuallybroughtfromtheminetothemarketisoutofallproportiongreaterthanthatofgoldandsilver。Wedonot,however,uponthisaccount,imaginethatthosecoarsemetalsarelikelytomultiplybeyondthedemand,ortobecomegraduallycheaperandcheaper。Whyshouldweimaginethatthepreciousmetalsarelikelytodoso?Thecoarsemetals,indeed,thoughharder,areputtomuchharderuses,and,astheyareoflessvalue,lesscareisemployedintheirpreservation。Thepreciousmetals,however,arenotnecessarilyimmortalanymorethanthey,butareliable,too,tobelost,wasted,andconsumedinagreatvarietyofways。
Thepriceofallmetals,thoughliabletoslowandgradualvariations,varieslessfromyeartoyearthanthatofalmostanyotherpartoftherudeproduceofland;andthepriceofthepreciousmetalsisevenlessliabletosuddenvariationsthanthatofthecoarseones。Thedurablenessofmetalsisthefoundationofthisextraordinarysteadinessofprice。Thecornwhichwasbroughttomarketlastyearwillbealloralmostallconsumedlongbeforetheendofthisyear。Butsomepartoftheironwhichwasbroughtfromtheminetwoorthreehundredyearsagomaybestillinuse,andperhapssomepartofthegoldwhichwasbroughtfromittwoorthreethousandyearsago。Thedifferentmassesofcornwhichindifferentyearsmustsupplytheconsumptionoftheworldwillalwaysbenearlyinproportiontotherespectiveproduceofthosedifferentyears。Buttheproportionbetweenthedifferentmassesofironwhichmaybeinuseintwodifferentyearswillbeverylittleaffectedbyanyaccidentaldifferenceintheproduceoftheironminesofthosetwoyears;andtheproportionbetweenthemassesofgoldwillbestilllessaffectedbyanysuchdifferenceintheproduceofthegoldmines。Thoughtheproduceofthegreaterpartofmetallicmines,therefore,varies,perhaps,stillmorefromyeartoyearthanthatofthegreaterpartofcornfields,thosevariationshavenotthesameeffectuponthepriceoftheonespeciesofcommoditiesasuponthatoftheother。
VARIATIONSINTHEPROPORTIONBETWEENTHERESPECTIVEVALUES
OFGOLDANDSILVER