第17章
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  Thevariousdescriptionsofsecuritieswhichinthiswayrepresentcorporatecapitalarequotableonthemarketandaresubjecttomarketfluctuations;wherebyitcomesaboutthattheaggregateeffectivemagnitudeofthecorporatecapitalvarieswiththetoneofthemarket,withthemanoeuvresofthebusinessmentowhomisdelegatedthemanagementofthecompanies,andwiththeaccidentsoftheseasonsandthechancesofpeaceandwar。Accordingly,theamountofthebusinesscapitalofagivenconcern,orofthebusinesscommunityasawhole,variesinmagnitudeingreatmeasureindependentlyofthemechanicalfactsofindustry,aswasnotedaboveinspeakingofloancredit。

  Themarketfluctuationsintheamountofcapitalproceedonvariationsofconfidenceonthepartoftheinvestors,oncurrentbeliefastotheprobablepolicyortacticsofthebusinessmenincontrol,onforecastsastotheseasonsandthetacticsoftheguildofpoliticians,andontheindeterminable,largelyinstinctive,shiftingmovementsofpublicsentimentandapprehension。Sothatundermodernconditionsthemagnitudeofthebusinesscapitalanditsmutationsfromdaytodayareingreatmeasureaquestionoffolkpsychologyratherthanofmaterialfact。

  Butinthisuncertainandshiftingrelationofthebusinesscapitaltothematerialequipmentthereareoneortwopointswhichmaybesetdownasfairlysecure。Sincethecreditinstrumentsinvolvedinmoderncapitalizationmaybeusedascollateralforafurthercreditextension,asnotedinthechapteronloancredit,14*theaggregatenominalcapitalinhandatagiventimeis,normally,largerbyanappreciableamountthantheaggregatevalueofthematerialpropertiesinvolved;15*andatthesametimethecurrentvalueofthesematerialpropertiesisalsogreaterthanitwouldbeintheabsenceofthatcreditfinancieringforwhichcorporatecapitalizationaffordsabasis。

  Germanwritershavefamiliarizedeconomicreaderswiththeterms“crediteconomy,““moneyeconomy“Geldwirtschaft,and“naturaleconomy“Naturalwirtschaft,thelater-modernschemeofeconomiclifebeingcharacterizedasa“crediteconomy。“Whatcharacterizestheearly-modernscheme,the“moneyeconomy,“andsetsitoffincontrastwiththenaturaleconomydistributioninkindthatwentbeforeitinWest-Europeanculture,istheubiquitousresorttothemarketasaventforproductsandasourceofsupplyofgoods。Thecharacteristicfeatureofthismoneyeconomyisthegoodsmarket。Aboutthegoodsmarketbusinessandindustrialintereststurninearlymoderntimes;andtothisearly-modernsystemofindustriallifethecurrentdoctrinesofpoliticaleconomyareadapted,asindicatedabove。

  Thecrediteconomy-theschemeofeconomiclifeoftheimmediatepastandthepresent-hasmadeanadvanceoverthemoneyeconomyintherespectwhichchieflydistinguishesthelatter。Thegoodsmarket,ofcourse,inabsolutetermsisstillaspowerfulaneconomicfactorasever,butitisnolongerthedominantfactorinbusinessandindustrialtraffic,asitoncewas。Thecapitalmarkethastakenthefirstplaceinthisrespect。Thecapitalmarketisthemoderneconomicfeaturewhichmakesandidentifiesthehigher“crediteconomy“assuch。Inthiscrediteconomyresortishabituallyhadtothemarketasaventforaccumulatedmoneyvaluesandasourceofsupplyofcapital。17*

  Tradingundertheoldregimewasatrafficingoods;underthenewregimethereisadded,asthedominantandcharacteristictrait,tradingincapital。Bothinthecapitalandinthegoodsmarketthereareprofessionaltraders,aswellasbuyersandsellerswhoresorttothemarkettodisposeoftheirholdingsandtosupplytheirneedsofwhatthemarketaffords。Ineitherclassoftradingtheendssoughtbythoseengagedinthebusinessaregenericallythesame。Theendeavorsofthosewhoareinthebusinessoftrading,whobuyinordertosellandsellinordertobuy,aredirectedtothepecuniarygainthatistobegotthroughanadvantageousdiscrepancybetweenthepricepaidandthepriceobtained;butonthepartofthosewhoresorttothemarkettosupplytheirneedstheendsoughtisnotthesameinthetwocases。Thelastbuyerofgoodsbuysforconsumption,butthelastnegotiatorofcapitalbuysforthesakeoftheulteriorprofit;insubstancehebuysinordertosellagainatanadvance。Theadvancewhichhehasinviewistocomeoutoftheprospectiveearningsofthecapitalforwhichhenegotiates。Whathehasinviewashisulteriorendinthetransactionistheconversionofthevaluesforwhichhenegotiatesintoalargeroutcomeofmoneyvalues,-whateverprocessofproductionandthelikemayintervenebetweentheinceptionandthegoalofhistraffic。18*

  Thevalueofanygivenblockofcapital,therefore,turnsonitsearning-capacity;or,asthemathematicalexpressionhasit,thevalueofcapitalisafunctionofitsearning-capacity,19*

  notofitsprimecostorofitsmechanicalefficiency。Itisonlymoreremotely,andthroughthemediationoftheearning-capacity,thattheselast-namedfactorssensiblyaffectthevalueofthecapital。Thisearning-capacityofcapitaldependsinitsturn,notsomuchonthemechanicalefficiencyofthevaluableitemsboughtandsoldinthecapitalmarket,asonthetensionofthemarketforgoods。Torecurtoanexpressionalreadyemployedinasimilarconnection,thequestionofearning-capacityofcapitalrelatesprimarilytoitseffectivenessforpurposesofvendibility,andonlyatthesecondremovetoitseffectivenessinthewayofmaterialserviceability。Buttheearning-capacitywhichinthiswayaffordsgroundforthevaluationofmarketablecapitalorforthemarketcapitalizationofthesecuritiesboughtandsoldisnotitspastoractualearning-capacity,butitspresumptivefutureearning-capacity;sothatthefluctuationsinthecapitalmarket-thevaryingmarketcapitalizationofsecurities-turnaboutimaginedfutureevents。Theforecastinthecasemaybemoreorlesssagacious,but,howeversagacious,itretainsthecharacterofaforecastbasedonothergroundsbesidesthecomputationofpastresults。

  Allcapitalwhichisputonthemarketisinthiswaysubjectedtoaninterminableprocessofvaluationandrevaluation-i。e。acapitalizationandrecapitalization-onthebasisofitspresumptiveearning-capacity,wherebyitallassumesmoreorlessofacharacterofintangibility。Butthemostelusiveandintangibleitemsofthismarketablecapitalare,ofcourse,thoseitemswhichconsistofcapitalizedgood-will,sincetheseareintangiblegoodsfromstarttofinish。Itisuponthisfactorofgood-willincapitalthatachangeinpresumptiveearning-capacityfallsmostimmediately,andthisfactorshowsthewidestandfreestmarketfluctuations。Thevariationsinthecapitalizedvalueofmerchantablegood-willarerelativelywideandunstable,asisshownbythequotationsofcommonstock。

  Inthecapitalmarketthecommodityinwhichtradingisdone,then,isthecapitalizedputativeearning-capacityofthepropertycoveredbythesecuritiesboughtandsold。Thispropertyisinparttangible,inpartintangible,thetwocategoriesbeingseldomclearlydistinguishable。Theitemsboughtandsoldareputintomerchantableformbybeingstandardizedintermsofmoneyandsubdividedintoconvenientimaginaryshares,whichgreatlyfacilitatesthetraffic。Theearning-capacityonwhichthemarketcapitalizationrunsandaboutwhichthetrafficinmerchantablecapitalturnsisaputativeearning-capacity。Itfollowsthatthisputativeearning-capacityofagivenblockofcapital,asittakesshapeinthesurmisesofoutsideinvestors,maydifferappreciablyfromtheactualearning-capacityofthecapitalasknowntoitsmanagers;anditmayreadilybetothelatter’sinterestthatsuchadiscrepancybetweenactualandimputedearning-capacityshouldarise。20*When,e。g。,theputativeearning-capacityofthecapitalcoveredbyagivenlineofsecurities,asshownbythemarketquotations,risesappreciablyabovewhatisknowntoitsmanagerstobeitsactualearning-capacity,thelattermayfindtheiradvantageinsellingout,oreveninsellingshort;whileintheconversecasetheywillbeinclinedtobuy。Moreover,putativeearning-capacityistheoutcomeofmanysurmiseswithrespecttoprospectiveearningsandthelike;andthesesurmiseswillvaryfromonemantothenext,sincetheyproceedonanimperfect,largelyconjectural,knowledgeofpresentearning-capacityandonthestillmoreimperfectlyknownfuturecourseofthegoodsmarketandofcorporatepolicy。Hencesalesofsecuritiesarefrequent,bothbecauseoutsidersvaryintheirestimatesandforecasts,andbecausetheinformationoftheoutsidersdoesnotcoincidewiththatoftheinsiders。Theconsequenceisthatagivenblockofcapital,representing,e。g。,acontrollinginterestinagivenindustrialenterprise,may,andinpracticeitcommonlywill,changeownersmuchmorefrequentlythanagivenindustrialplantwaswonttochangeownersundertheoldregime,beforethefullydevelopedcorporationfinancecametooccupythefieldofindustrialbusiness。21*

  Itfollows,further,thatunderthesecircumstancesthemenwhohavethemanagementofsuchanindustrialenterprise,capitalizedandquotableonthemarket,willbeabletoinduceadiscrepancybetweentheputativeandtheactualearning-capacity,byexpedientswellknownandapprovedforthepurpose。Partialinformation,aswellasmisinformation,sagaciouslygivenoutatacriticaljuncture,willgofartowardproducingafavorabletemporarydiscrepancyofthiskind,andsoenablingthemanagerstobuyorsellthesecuritiesoftheconcernwithadvantagetothemselves。Iftheyareshrewdbusinessmen,astheycommonlyare,theywillaimtomanagetheaffairsoftheconcernwithaviewtoanadvantageouspurchaseandsaleofitscapitalratherthanwithaviewtothefutureprosperityoftheconcern,ortothecontinuedadvantageoussaleoftheoutputofgoodsorservicesproducedbytheindustrialuseofthiscapital。

  Thatistosay,theinterestofthemanagersofamoderncorporationneednotcoincidewiththepermanentinterestofthecorporationasagoingconcern;neitherdoesitcoincidewiththeinterestwhichthecommunityatlargehasintheefficientmanagementoftheconcernasanindustrialenterprise。Itistotheinterestofthecommunityatlargethattheenterpriseshouldbesomanagedastogivethebestandlargestpossibleoutputofgoodsorservices;whereastheinterestofthecorporationasagoingconcernisthatitbemanagedwithaviewtomaintainingitsefficiencyandsellingaslargeanoutputasmaybeatthebestpricesobtainableinthelongrun;buttheinterestofthemanagers,andoftheownersforthetimebeing,istosomanagetheenterpriseastoenablethemtobuyituportoselloutasexpeditiouslyandasadvantageouslyasmaybe。Theinterestofthecommunityatlargedemandsindustrialefficiencyandserviceabilityoftheproduct;whilethebusinessinterestoftheconcernassuchdemandsvendibilityoftheproduct;andtheinterestofthosemenwhohavethefinaldiscretioninthemanagementofthesecorporateenterprisesdemandsvendibilityofthecorporatecapital。Thecommunity’sinterestdemandsthatthereshouldbeafavorabledifferencebetweenthematerialcostandthematerialserviceabilityoftheoutput;thecorporation’sinterestdemandsafavorablepecuniarydifferencebetweenexpensesandreceipts,costandsalepriceoftheoutput;thecorporationdirectorate’sinterestisthatthereshouldbeadiscrepancy,favorableforpurchaseorforsaleasthecasemaybe,betweentheactualandtheputativeearning-capacityofthecorporation’scapital。

  Ithasbeennotedinanearlierchapterthatthereunavoidablyresultsadiscrepancy,notuncommonlyadivergence,betweentheindustrialneedsofthecommunityandthebusinessneedsofthecorporations。Undertheregimeoftheold-fashioned“moneyeconomy,“withpartnershipmethodsandprivateownershipofindustrialenterprises,thediscretionarycontroloftheindustrialprocessesisinthehandsofmenwhoseinterestintheindustryisremovedbyonedegreefromtheinterestsofthecommunityatlarge。Butundertheregimeofthemoreadequatelydeveloped“crediteconomy,“withvendiblecorporatecapital,22*

  theinterestofthemenwhoholdthediscretioninindustrialaffairsisremovedbyonedegreefromthatoftheconcernsundertheirmanagement,andbytwodegreesfromtheinterestsofthecommunityatlarge。

  Thebusinessinterestofthemanagersdemands,notserviceabilityoftheoutput,norevenvendibilityoftheoutput,butanadvantageousdiscrepancyinthepriceofthecapitalwhichtheymanage。Thereadyvendibilityofcorporatecapitalhasingreatmeasuredissociatedthebusinessinterestofthedirectoratefromthatofthecorporationwhoseaffairstheydirectandwhosebusinesspolicytheydictate,andhasledthemtocentretheirendeavorsuponthediscrepancybetweentheactualandtheputativeearning-capacityratherthanuponthepermanentefficiencyoftheconcern。Theirconnectionwiththeconcernisessentiallytransient;itcanbeterminatedspeedilyandsilentlywhenevertheirprivatefortunedemandsitsseverance。Instancesareabundant,moreparticularlyinrailwaymanagement,wherethisdiscrepancybetweenthebusinessinterestoftheconcernandtheprivatebusinessinterestofthemanagersforthetimebeinghasledtoverypicturesquedevelopments,suchascouldnotoccuriftheinterestsofthemanagementwereboundupwiththoseofthecorporationinthemanneranddegreethatonceprevailed。Thefactissignificantthatthemorefrequentandstrikinginstancesofsuchmanagementofcorporateaffairsforprivateendshavehithertooccurredinrailroading,atthesametimethatthemethodsandexpedientsofmoderncorporationfinancehavealsofirstandmostwidelyreachedafairdegreeofmaturityinrailroading。Itholdsoutasuggestionastowhatmayfairlybelookedforwhencorporationfinanceshallhavemadeitselfmorethoroughlyathomeinthe“industrials“proper。Indeed,thefieldofthe“industrials“isbynomeansbarrenofinstancescomparablewiththematurerandmoresagaciousrailroadfinanciering。

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