第37章
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  Asforprices,inthesecircumstancestheywouldbeaffected

  ornot,accordingastheimprovementsinproductiondidordid

  notextendtothepreciousmetals。Ifthematerialsofmoneywere

  anexceptiontothegeneraldiminutionofcostofproduction,the

  valuesofallotherthingswouldfallinrelationtomoney,that

  is,therewouldbeafallofgeneralpricesthroughouttheworld。

  Butifmoney,likeotherthings,andinthesamedegreeasother

  things,wereobtainedingreaterabundanceandcheapness,prices

  wouldbenomoreaffectedthanvalueswould:andtherewouldbe

  novisiblesigninthestateofthemarkets,ofanyofthe

  changeswhichhadtakenplace;exceptthattherewouldbe(if

  peoplecontinuedtolabourasmuchasbefore)agreaterquantity

  ofallsortsofcommodities,circulatedatthesamepricesbya

  greaterquantityofmoney。

  Improvementsinproductionarenottheonlycircumstance

  accompanyingtheprogressofindustry,whichtendstodiminish

  thecostofproducing,oratleastofobtaining,commodities。

  Anothercircumstanceistheincreaseofintercoursebetween

  differentpartsoftheworld。Ascommerceextends,andthe

  ignorantattemptstorestrainitbytariffsbecomeobsolete,

  commoditiestendmoreandmoretobeproducedintheplacesin

  whichtheirproductioncanbecarriedonattheleastexpenseof

  labourandcapitaltomankind。Ascivilizationspreads,and

  securityofpersonandpropertybecomesestablished,inpartsof

  theworldwhichhavenothithertohadthatadvantage,the

  productivecapabilitiesofthoseplacesarecalledintofuller

  activity,forthebenefitbothoftheirowninhabitantsandof

  foreigners。Theignoranceandmisgovernmentinwhichmanyofthe

  regionsmostfavouredbynaturearestillgrovelling,afford

  work,probably,formanygenerationsbeforethosecountrieswill

  beraisedeventothepresentlevelofthemostcivilizedparts

  ofEurope。Muchwillalsodependontheincreasingmigrationof

  labourandcapitaltounoccupiedpartsoftheearth,ofwhichthe

  soil,climate,andsituationarefound,bytheamplemeansof

  explorationnowpossessed,topromisenotonlyalargereturnto

  industry,butgreatfacilitiesofproducingcommoditiessuitedto

  themarketsofoldcountries。Muchasthecollectiveindustryof

  theearthislikelytobeincreasedinefficiencybythe

  extensionofscienceandoftheindustrialarts,astillmore

  activesourceofincreasedcheapnessofproductionwillbefound,

  probably,forsometimetocome,inthegraduallyunfolding

  consequencesofFreeTrade,andintheincreasingscaleonwhich

  EmigrationandColonizationwillbecarriedon。

  Fromthecausesnowenumerated,unlesscounteractedby

  others,theprogressofthingsenablesacountrytoobtainat

  lessandlessofrealcost,notonlyitsownproductionsbut

  thoseofforeigncountries。Indeed,whateverdiminishesthecost

  ofitsownproductions,whenofanexportablecharacter,enables

  it,aswehavealreadyseen,toobtainitsimportsatlessreal

  cost。

  2。Butisitthefact,thatthesetendenciesarenot

  counteracted?Hastheprogressofwealthandindustrynoeffect

  inregardtocostofproduction,buttodiminishit?Areno

  causesofanoppositecharacterbroughtintooperationbythe

  sameprogress,sufficientinsomecasesnotonlytoneutralize,

  buttoovercometheformer,andconvertthedescendingmovement

  ofcostofproductionintoanascendingmovement?Wearealready

  awarethattherearesuchcauses,andthat,inthecaseofthe

  mostimportantclassesofcommodities,foodandmaterials,there

  isatendencydiametricallyoppositetothatofwhichwehave

  beenspeaking。Thecostofproductionofthesecommoditiestends

  toincrease。

  Thisisnotapropertyinherentinthecommodities

  themselves。Ifpopulationwerestationary,andtheproduceofthe

  earthneverneededtobeaugmentedinquantity,therewouldbeno

  causeforgreatercostofproduction。Mankindwould,onthe

  contrary,havethefullbenefitofallimprovementsin

  agriculture,orintheartssubsidiarytoit,andtherewouldbe

  nodifference,inthisrespect,betweentheproductsof

  agricultureandthoseofmanufactures。Theonlyproductsof

  industry,which,ifpopulationdidnotincrease,wouldbeliable

  toarealincreaseofcostofproduction,arethosewhich,

  dependingonamaterialwhichisnotrenewed,areeitherwholly

  orpartiallyexhaustible;suchascoal,andmostifnotall

  metals;foreveniron,themostabundantaswellasmostuseful

  ofmetallicproducts,whichformsaningredientofmostminerals

  andofalmostallrocks,issusceptibleofexhaustionsofaras

  regardsitsrichestandmosttractableores。

  When,however,populationincreases,asithasneveryet

  failedtodowhentheincreaseofindustryandofthemeansof

  subsistencemaderoomforit,thedemandformostofthe

  productionsoftheearth,andparticularlyforfood,increasesin

  acorrespondingproportion。Andthencomesintoeffectthat

  fundamentallawofproductionfromthesoil,onwhichwehaveso

  frequentlyhadoccasiontoexpatiate;thelaw,thatincreased

  labour,inanygivenstateofagriculturalskill,isattended

  withalessthanproportionalincreaseofproduce。Thecostof

  productionofthefruitsoftheearthincreases,caeteris

  paribus,witheveryincreaseofthedemand。

  Notendencyofalikekindexistswithrespectto

  manufacturedarticles。Thetendencyisinthecontrarydirection。

  Thelargerthescaleonwhichmanufacturingoperationsare

  carriedon,themorecheaplytheycaningeneralbeperformed。Mr

  Seniorhasgonethelengthofenunciatingasaninherentlawof

  manufacturingindustry,thatinitincreasedproductiontakes

  placeatasmallercost,whileinagriculturalindustryincreased

  productiontakesplaceatagreatercost。Icannotthink,

  however,thateveninmanufactures,increasedcheapnessfollows

  increasedproductionbyanythingamountingtoalaw。Itisa

  probableandusual,butnotanecessary,consequence。

  Asmanufactures,however,dependfortheirmaterialseither

  uponagriculture,ormining,orthespontaneousproduceofthe

  earth,manufacturingindustryissubject,inrespectofoneof

  itsessentials,tothesamelawasagriculture。Butthecrude

  materialgenerallyformssosmallaportionofthetotalcost,

  thatanytendencywhichmayexisttoaprogressiveincreasein

  thatsingleitem,ismuchover。balancedbythediminution

  continuallytakingplaceinalltheotherelements;towhich

  diminutionitisimpossibleatpresenttoassignanylimit。

  Thetendency,then,beingtoaperpetualincreaseofthe

  productivepoweroflabourinmanufactures,whileinagriculture

  andminingthereisaconflictbetweentwotendencies,theone

  towardsanincreaseofproductivepower,theothertowardsa

  diminutionofit,thecostofproductionbeinglessenedbyevery

  improvementintheprocesses,andaugmentedbyeveryadditionto

  population;itfollowsthattheexchangevaluesofmanufactured

  articles,comparedwiththeproductsofagricultureandofmines,

  have,aspopulationandindustryadvance,acertainanddecided

  tendencytofall。Moneybeingaproductofmines,itmayalsobe

  laiddownasarule,thatmanufacturedarticlestend,associety

  advances,tofallinmoneyprice。Theindustrialhistoryof

  modernnations,especiallyduringthelasthundredyears,fully

  bearsoutthisassertion。

  3。Whetheragriculturalproduceincreasesinabsoluteaswell

  ascomparativecostofproduction,dependsontheconflictofthe

  twoantagonistagencies,increaseofpopulation,andimprovement

  inagriculturalskill。Insome,perhapsinmost,statesof

  society,(lookingatthewholesurfaceoftheearth,)both

  agriculturalskillandpopulationareeitherstationary,or

  increaseveryslowly,andthecostofproductionoffood,

  therefore,isnearlystationary。Inasocietywhichisadvancing

  inwealth,populationgenerallyincreasesfasterthan

  agriculturalskill,andfoodconsequentlytendstobecomemore

  costly;buttherearetimeswhenastrongimpulsesetsintowards

  agriculturalimprovement。Suchanimpulsehasshownitselfin

  GreatBritainduringthelasttwentyorthirtyyears。InEngland

  andScotlandagriculturalskillhasoflateincreased

  considerablyfasterthanpopulation,insomuchthatfoodandother

  agriculturalproduce,notwithstandingtheincreaseofpeople,can

  begrownatlesscostthantheywerethirtyyearsago:andthe

  abolitionoftheCornLawshasgivenanadditionalstimulusto

  thespiritofimprovement。Insomeothercountries,and

  particularlyinFrance,theimprovementofagriculturegains

  groundstillmoredecidedlyuponpopulation,becausethough

  agriculture,exceptinafewprovinces,advancesslowly,

  populationadvancesstillmoreslowly,andevenwithincreasing

  slowness;itsgrowthbeingkeptdown,notbypoverty,whichis

  diminishing,butbyprudence。

  Whichofthetwoconflictingagenciesisgaininguponthe

  otheratanyparticulartime,mightbeconjecturedwithtolerable

  accuracyfromthemoneypriceofagriculturalproduce(supposing

  bullionnottovarymateriallyinvalue),providedasufficient

  numberofyearscouldbetaken,toformanaverageindependentof

  thefluctuationsofseasons。This,however,ishardly

  practicable,sinceMrTookehasshownthatevensolongaperiod

  ashalfacenturymayincludeamuchgreaterproportionof

  abundantandasmallerofdeficientseasonsthanisproperlydue

  toit。Amereaverage,therefore,mightleadtoconclusionsonly

  themoremisleading,fortheirdeceptivesemblanceofaccuracy。

  Therewouldbelessdangeroferrorintakingtheaverageofonly

  asmallnumberofyears,andcorrectingitbyaconjectural

  allowanceforthecharacteroftheseasons,thanintrustingtoa

  longeraveragewithoutanysuchcorrection。Itishardly

  necessarytoadd,thatinfoundingconclusionsonquotedprices,

  allowancemustalsobemadeasfaraspossibleforanychangesin

  thegeneralexchangevalueofthepreciousmetals。(1*)

  4。Thusfar,oftheeffectoftheprogressofsocietyonthe

  permanentoraveragevaluesandpricesofcommodities。Itremains

  tobeconsidered,inwhatmannerthesameprogressaffectstheir

  fluctuations。Concerningtheanswertothisquestiontherecanbe

  nodoubt。Ittendsinaveryhighdegreetodiminishthem。In

  poorandbackwardsocieties,asintheEast,andinEuropeduring

  theMiddleAges,extraordinarydifferencesinthepriceofthe

  samecommoditymightexistinplacesnotverydistantfromeach

  other,becausethewantofroadsandcanals,theimperfectionof

  marinenavigation,andtheinsecurityofcommunications

  generally,preventedthingsfrombeingtransportedfromthe

  placeswheretheywerecheaptothosewheretheyweredear。The

  thingsmostliabletofluctuationsinvalue,thosedirectly

  influencedbytheseasons,andespeciallyfood,wereseldom

  carriedtoanygreatdistances。Eachlocalitydepended,asa

  generalrule,onitsownproduceandthatofitsimmediate

  neighbourhood。Inmostyears,accordingly,therewas,insome

  partorotherofanylargecountry,arealdearth。Almostevery

  seasonmustbeunpropitioustosomeamongthemanysoilsand

  climatestobefoundinanextensivetractofcountry;butasthe

  sameseasonisalsoingeneralmorethanordinarilyfavourableto

  others,itisonlyoccasionallythattheaggregateproduceofthe

  wholecountryisdeficient,andeventheninalessdegreethan

  thatofmanyseparateportions;whileadeficiencyatall

  considerable,extendingtothewholeworld,isathingalmostun。

  known。Inmoderntimes,therefore,thereisonlydearth,where

  thereformerlywouldhavebeenfamine,andsufficiencyeverywhere

  whenancientlytherewouldhavebeenscarcityinsomeplacesand

  superfluityinothers。

  Thesamechangehastakenplacewithrespecttoallother

  articlesofcommerce。Thesafetyandcheapnessofcommunications,

  whichenableadeficiencyinoneplacetobesuppliedfromthe

  surplusofanother,atamoderateorevenasmalladvanceonthe

  ordinaryprice,renderthefluctuationsofpricesmuchless

  extremethanformerly。Thiseffectismuchpromotedbythe

  existenceoflargecapitals,belongingtowhatarecalled

  speculativemerchants,whosebusinessitistobuygoodsinorder

  toresellthemataprofit。Thesedealersnaturallybuyingthings

  whentheyarecheapest,andstoringthemuptobebroughtagain

  intothemarketwhenthepricehasbecomeunusuallyhigh;the

  tendencyoftheiroperationsistoequalizeprice,oratleastto

  moderateitsinequalities。Thepricesofthingsareneitherso

  muchdepressedatonetime,norsomuchraisedatanother,as

  theywouldbeifspeculativedealersdidnotexist。

  Speculators,therefore,haveahighlyusefulofficeinthe

  economyofsociety;and(contrarytocommonopinion)themost

  usefulportionoftheclassarethosewhospeculatein

  commoditiesaffectedbythevicissitudesofseasons。Ifthere

  werenocorn—dealers,notonlywouldthepriceofcornbeliable

  tovariationsmuchmoreextremethanatpresent,butina

  deficientseasonthenecessarysuppliesmightnotbeforthcoming

  atall。Unlesstherewerespeculatorsincorn,orunless,in

  defaultofdealers,thefarmersbecamespeculators,thepricein

  aseasonofabundancewouldfallwithoutanylimitorcheck,

  exceptthewastefulconsumptionthatwouldinvariablyfollow。

  Thatanypartofthesurplusofoneyearremainstosupplythe

  deficiencyofanother,isowingeithertofarmerswhowithhold

  cornfromthemarket,ortodealerswhobuyitwhenatthe

  cheapestandlayitupinstore。

  5。Amongpersonswhohavenotmuchconsideredthesubject,

  thereisanotionthatthegainsofspeculatorsareoftenmadeby

  causinganartificialscarcity;thattheycreateahighpriceby

  theirownpurchases,andthenprofitbyit。Thismayeasilybe

  showntobefallacious。Ifacorn—dealermakespurchaseson

  speculation,andproducesarise,whenthereisneitheratthe

  timenorafterwardsanycauseforariseofpriceexcepthisown

  proceedings;henodoubtappearstogrowricheraslongashis

  purchasescontinue,becauseheisaholderofanarticlewhichis

  quotedatahigherandhigherprice:butthisapparentgainonly

  seemswithinhisreachsolongashedoesnotattempttorealize

  it。Ifhehasbought,forinstance,amillionofquarters,andby

  with。holdingthemfromthemarket,hasraisedthepriceten

  shillingsaquarter;justsomuchasthepricehasbeenraisedby

  withdrawingamillionquarters,willitbeloweredbybringing

  themback,andthebestthathecanhopeisthathewilllose

  nothingexceptinterestandhisexpenses。Ifbyagradualand

  cautioussaleheisabletorealize,onsomeportionofhis

  stores,apartoftheincreasedprice,soalsohewill

  undoubtedlyhavehadtopayapartofthatpriceonsomeportion

  ofhispurchases。Herunsconsiderableriskofincurringastill

  greaterloss;forthetemporaryhighpriceisverylikelytohave

  temptedothers,whohadnoshareincausingit,andwhomight

  otherwisenothavefoundtheirwaytohismarketatall,tobring

  theircornthere,andinterceptapartoftheadvantage。Sothat

  insteadofprofitingbyascarcitycausedbyhimself,heisbyno

  meansunlikely,afterbuyinginanaveragemarket,tobeforced

  tosellinasuper—abundantone。

  Asanindividualspeculatorcannotgainbyariseofprice

  solelyofhisowncreating,soneithercananumberof

  speculatorsgaincollectivelybyarisewhichtheiroperations

  haveartificiallyproduced。Someamonganumberofspeculators

  maygain,bysuperiorjudgmentorgoodfortuneinselectingthe

  timeforrealizing,buttheymakethisgainattheexpense,not

  oftheconsumer,butoftheotherspeculatorswhoareless

  judicious。They,infact,converttotheirownbenefitthehigh

  priceproducedbythespeculationsoftheothers,leavingto

  thesethelossresultingfromtherecoil。Itisnottobedenied,

  therefore,thatspeculatorsmayenrichthemselvesbyother

  people’sloss。Butitisbythelossesofotherspeculators。As

  muchmusthavebeenlostbyonesetofdealersasisgainedby

  anotherset。

  Whenaspeculationinacommodityprovesprofitabletothe

  speculatorsasabody,itisbecause,intheintervalbetween

  theirbuyingandreselling,thepricerisesfromsomecause

  independentofthem,theironlyconnexionwithitconsistingin

  havingforeseenit。Inthiscase,theirpurchasesmaketheprice

  begintorisesoonerthanitotherwisewoulddo,thusspreading

  theprivationoftheconsumersoveralongerperiod,but

  mitigatingitatthetimeofitsgreatestheight:evidentlyto

  thegeneraladvantage。Inthis,however,itisassumedthatthey

  havenotoverratedtherisewhichtheylookedforwardto。Forit

  oftenhappensthatspeculativepurchasesaremadeinthe

  expectationofsomeincreaseofdemand,ordeficiencyofsupply,

  whichafteralldoesnotoccur,ornottotheextentwhichthe

  speculatorexpected。Inthatcasethespeculation,insteadof

  moderatingfluctuation,hascausedafluctuationofpricewhich

  otherwisewouldnothavehappened,oraggravatedonewhichwould。

  Butinthatcase,thespeculationisalosingone,tothe

  speculatorscollectively,howevermuchsomeindividualsmaygain

  byit。Allthatpartoftheriseofpricebywhichitexceeds

  whatthereareindependentgroundsfor,cannotgivetothe

  speculatorsasabodyanybenefit,sincethepriceisasmuch

  depressedbytheirsalesasitwasraisedbytheirpurchases;and

  whiletheygainnothingbyit,theylose,notonlytheirtrouble

  andexpenses,butalmostalwaysmuchmore,throughtheeffects

  incidenttotheartificialriseofprice,inchecking

  consumption,andbringingforwardsuppliesfromunforeseen

  quarters。Theoperations,therefore,ofspeculativedealers,are

  usefultothepublicwheneverprofitabletothemselves;and

  thoughtheyaresometimesinjurioustothepublic,byheightening

  thefluctuationswhichtheirmoreusualofficeistoalleviate,

  yetwheneverthishappensthespeculatorsarethegreatest

  losers。Theinterest,inshort,ofthespeculatorsasabody,

  coincideswiththeinterestofthepublic;andastheycanonly

  failtoservethepublicinterestinproportionastheymiss

  theirown,thebestwaytopromotetheoneistoleavethemto

  pursuetheotherinperfectfreedom。

  Idonotdenythatspeculatorsmayaggravatealocal

  scarcity。Incollectingcornfromthevillagestosupplythe

  towns,theymakethedearthpenetrateintonooksandcorners

  whichmightotherwisehaveescapedfrombearingtheirshareof

  it。Tobuyandresellinthesameplace,tendstoalleviate

  scarcity;tobuyinoneplaceandresellinanother,mayincrease

  itintheformerofthetwoplaces,butrelievesitinthe

  latter,wherethepriceishigher,andwhich,therefore,bythe

  verysupposition,islikelytobesufferingmore。Andthese

  sufferingsalwaysfallhardestonthepoorestconsumers,since

  therich,byoutbidding,canobtaintheiraccustomedsupply

  undiminishediftheychoose。Tonopersons,therefore,arethe

  operationsofcorn—dealersonthewholesobeneficialastothe

  poor。Accidentallyandexceptionally,thepoormaysufferfrom

  them:itmightsometimesbemoreadvantageoustotheruralpoor

  tohavecorncheapinwinter,whentheyareentirelydependenton

  it,eveniftheconsequencewereadearthinspring,whenthey

  canperhapsobtainpartialsubstitutes。Butthereareno

  substitutes,procurableatthatseason,whichserveinanygreat

  degreetoreplacebread—cornasthechiefarticleoffood:if

  therewere,itspricewouldfallinthespring,insteadof

  continuing,asitalwaysdoes,torisetilltheapproachof

  harvest。

  Thereisanoppositionofimmediateinterest,atthemoment

  ofsale,betweenthedealerincornandtheconsumer,asthere

  alwaysisbetweenthesellerandthebuyer:andatimeofdearth

  beingthatinwhichthespeculatormakeshislargestprofits,he

  isanobjectofdislikeandjealousyatthattime,tothosewho

  aresufferingwhileheisgaining。Itisanerror,however,to

  supposethatthecorn。dealer’sbusinessaffordshimany

  extraordinaryprofit:hemakeshisgainsnotconstantly,butat

  particulartimes,andtheymustthereforeoccasionallybegreat,

  butthechancesofprofitinabusinessinwhichthereissomuch

  competition,cannotonthewholebegreaterthaninother

  employments。Ayearofscarcity,inwhichgreatgainsaremadeby

  corn—dealers,rarelycomestoanendwithoutarecoilwhich

  placesmanyoftheminthelistofbankrupts。Therehavebeenfew

  morepromisingseasonsforcorn—dealersthantheyear1847,and

  seldomwasthereagreaterbreak—upamongthespeculatorsthanin

  theautumnofthatyear。Thechancesoffailure,inthismost

  precarioustrade,areasetoffagainstgreatoccasionalprofits。

  Ifthecorn—dealerweretosellhisstores,duringadearth,ata

  lowerpricethanthatwhichthecompetitionoftheconsumers

  assignstohim,hewouldmakeasacrifice,tocharityor

  philanthropy,ofthefairprofitsofhisemployment,whichmaybe

  quiteasreasonablyrequiredfromanyotherpersonofequal

  means。Hisbusinessbeingausefulone,itistheinterestofthe

  publicthattheordinarymotivesshouldexistforcarryingiton,

  andthatneitherlawnoropinionshouldpreventanoperation

  beneficialtothepublicfrombeingattendedwithasmuchprivate

  advantageasiscompatiblewithfullandfreecompetition。

  Itappears,then,thatthefluctuationsofvaluesandprices

  arisingfromvariationsofsupply,orfromalterationsinreal

  (asdistinguishedfromspeculative)demand,maybeexpectedto

  becomemoremoderateassocietyadvances。Withregardtothose

  whicharisefrommiscalculation,andespeciallyfromthe

  alterationsofundueexpansionandexcessivecontractionof

  credit,whichoccupysoconspicuousaplaceamongcommercial

  phenomena,thesamethingcannotbeaffirmedwithequal

  confidence。Suchvicissitudes,beginningwithirrational

  speculationandendingwithacommercialcrisis,havenot

  hithertobecomeeitherlessfrequentorlessviolentwiththe

  growthofcapitalandextensionofindustry。Rathertheymaybe

  saidtohavebecomemoreso:inconsequence,asisoftensaid,of

  increasedcompetition;but,asIprefertosay,ofalowrateof

  profitsandinterest,whichmakescapitalistsdissatisfiedwith

  theordinarycourseofsafemercantilegains。Theconnexionof

  thislowrateofprofitwiththeadvanceofpopulationand

  accumulation,isoneofthepointstobeillustratedinthe

  ensuingchapters。

  NOTES:

  1。Astillbettercriterion,perhaps,thanthatsuggestedinthe

  text,wouldbetheincreaseordiminutionoftheamountofthe

  labourer’swagesestimatedinagriculturalproduce。

  ThePrinciplesofPoliticalEconomy

  byJohnStuartMill

  Book4

  Chapter3

  InfluenceoftheProgressofIndustryandPopulationonRents,

  Profits,andWages

  1。Continuingtheinquiryintothenatureoftheeconomical

  changestakingplaceinasocietywhichisinastateof

  industrialprogress,weshallnextconsiderwhatistheeffectof

  thatprogressonthedistributionoftheproduceamongthe

  variousclasseswhoshareinit。Wemayconfineourattentionto

  thesystemofdistributionwhichisthemostcomplex,andwhich

  virtuallyincludesallothers—thatinwhichtheproduceof

  manufacturesissharedbetweentwoclasses,labourersand

  capitalists,andtheproduceofagricultureamongthree,

  labourers,capitalists,andlandlords。

  Thecharacteristicfeaturesofwhatiscommonlymeantby

  industrialprogress,resolvethemselvesmainlyintothree,

  increaseofcapital,increaseofpopulation,andimprovementsin

  production;understandingthelastexpressioninitswidest

  sense,toincludetheprocessofprocuringcommoditiesfroma

  distance,aswellasthatofproducingthem。Theotherchanges

  whichtakeplacearechieflyconsequencesofthese;as,for

  example,thetendencytoaprogressiveincreaseofthecostof

  productionoffood;arisingfromanincreaseddemand,whichmay

  beoccasionedeitherbyincreasedpopulation,orbyanincrease

  ofcapitalandwages,enablingthepoorerclassestoincrease

  theirconsumption。Itwillbeconvenienttosetoutby

  consideringeachofthethreecauses,asoperatingseparately;

  afterwhichwecansupposethemcombinedinanymannerwethink

  fit。

  Letusfirstsupposethatpopulationincreases,capitaland

  theartsofproductionremainingstationary。Oneoftheeffects

  ofthischangeofcircumstancesissufficientlyobvious:wages

  willfall;thelabouringclasswillbereducedtoaninferior

  condition。Thestateofthecapitalist,onthecontrary,willbe

  improved。Withthesamecapital,hecanpurchasemorelabour,and

  obtainmoreproduce。Hisrateofprofitisincreased。The

  dependenceoftherateofprofitsonthecostoflabourishere

  verified;forthelabourerobtainingadiminishedquantityof

  commodities,andnoalterationbeingsupposedinthe

  circumstancesoftheirproduction,thediminishedquantity

  representsadiminishedcost。Thelabourerobtainsnotonlya

  smallerrealreward,buttheproductofasmallerquantityof

  labour。Thefirstcircumstanceistheimportantonetohimself,

  thelasttohisemployer。

  Nothinghasoccurred,thusfar,toaffectinanywaythe

  valueofanycommodity;andnoreason,therefore,hasyetshown

  itself,whyrentshouldbeeitherraisedorlowered。Butifwe

  lookforwardanotherstageintheseriesofeffects,wemaysee

  ourwaytosuchaconsequence。Thelabourershaveincreasedin

  numbers:theirconditionisreducedinthesameproportion;the

  increasednumbersdivideamongthemonlytheproduceofthesame

  amountoflabourasbefore。Buttheymayeconomizeintheirother

  comforts,andnotintheirfood:eachmayconsumeasmuchfood,

  andofascostlyaqualityaspreviously;ortheymaysubmittoa

  reduction,butnotinproportiontotheincreaseofnumbers。On

  thissupposition,notwithstandingthediminutionofrealwages,

  theincreasedpopulationwillrequireanincreasedquantityof

  food。Butsinceindustrialskillandknowledgearesupposedtobe

  stationary,morefoodcanonlybeobtainedbyresortingtoworse

  land,ortomethodsofcultivationwhicharelessproductivein

  proportiontotheoutlay。Capitalforthisextensionof

  agriculturewillnotbewanting;forthough,byhypothesis,no

  additiontakesplacetothecapitalinexistence,asufficient

  amountcanbesparedfromtheindustrywhichpreviouslysupplied

  theotherandlesspressingwantswhichthelabourershavebeen

  obligedtocurtail。Theadditionalsupplyoffood,therefore,

  willbeproduced,butproducedatagreatercost;andthe

  exchangevalueofagriculturalproducemustrise。Itmaybe

  objected,thatprofitshavingrisen,theextracostofproducing

  foodcanbedefrayedfromprofits,withoutanyincreaseofprice。

  Itcould,undoubtedly,butitwillnot;becauseifitdid,the

  agriculturistwouldbeplacedinaninferiorpositiontoother

  capitalists。Theincreaseofprofits,beingtheeffectof

  diminishedwages,iscommontoallemployersoflabour。The

  increasedexpensesarisingfromthenecessityofamorecostly

  cultivation,affecttheagriculturistalone。Forthispeculiar

  burthenhemustbepeculiarlycompensated,whetherthegeneral

  rateofprofitbehighorlow。Hewillnotsubmitindefinitelyto

  adeductionfromhisprofits,towhichothercapitalistsarenot

  subject。Hewillnotextendhiscultivationbylayingoutfresh

  capital,unlessforareturnsufficienttoyieldhimashigha

  profitascouldbeobtainedbythesamecapitalinother

  investments。Thevalue,therefore,ofhiscommoditywillrise,

  andriseinpro。portiontotheincreasedcost。Thefarmerwill

  thusbeindemnifiedfortheburthenwhichispeculiartohimself,

  andwillalsoenjoytheaugmentedrateofprofitwhichiscommon

  toallcapitalists。

  Itfollows,fromprincipleswithwhichwearealready

  familiar,thatinthesecircumstancesrentwillrise。Anyland

  canaffordtopay,andunderfreecompetitionwillpay,arent

  equaltotheexcessofitsproduceabovethereturntoanequal

  capitalontheworstland,orundertheleastfavourable

  conditions。Whenever,therefore,agricultureisdriventodescend

  toworseland,ormoreonerousprocesses,rentrises。Itsrise

  willbetwofold,for,inthefirstplace,rentinkind,orcorn

  rent,willrise;andinthesecond,sincethevalueof

  agriculturalproducehasalsorisen,rent,estimatedin

  manufacturedorforeigncommodities(whichisrepresented,

  caeterisparibus,bymoneyrent)willrisestillmore。

  Thestepsoftheprocess(if,afterwhathasbeenformerly

  said,itisnecessarytoretracethem)areasfollows。Cornrises

  inprice,torepaywiththeordinaryprofitthecapitalrequired

  forproducingadditionalcornonworselandorbymorecostly

  processes。Sofarasregardsthisadditionalcorn,theincreased

  priceisbutanequivalentfortheadditionalexpense;butthe

  rise,extendingtoallcorn,affordsonall,exceptthelast

  produced,anextraprofit。Ifthefarmerwasaccustomedto

  produce100quartersofwheatat40s。,and120quartersarenow

  required,ofwhichthelasttwentycannotbeproducedunder45s。,

  heobtainstheextrafiveshillingsontheentire120quarters,

  andnotonthelasttwentyalone。Hehasthusanextra25l。

  beyondtheordinaryprofits,andthis,inastateoffree

  competition,hewillnotbeabletoretain。Hecannothoweverbe

  compelledtogiveituptotheconsumer,sincealesspricethan

  45s。wouldbeinconsistentwiththeproductionofthelasttwenty

  quarters。Theprice,then,willremainat45s。,andthe25l。will

  betransferredbycompetitionnottotheconsumerbuttothe

  landlord。Ariseofrentsisthereforeinevitablyconsequenton

  anincreaseddemandforagriculturalproduce,whenunaccompanied

  byincreasedfacilitiesforitsproduction。Atruthwhich,after

  thisfinalillustration,wemayhenceforthtakeforgranted。

  Thenewelementnowintroduced—anincreaseddemandforfood

  —besidesoccasioninganincreaseofrent,stillfurtherdisturbs

  thedistributionoftheproducebetweencapitalistsand

  labourers。Theincreaseofpopulationwillhavediminishedthe

  rewardoflabour:andifitscostisdiminishedasgreatlyasits

  realremuneration,profitswillbeincreasedbythefullamount。

  If,however,theincreaseofpopulationleadstoanincreased

  productionoffood,whichcannotbesuppliedbutatanenhanced

  costofproduction,thecostoflabourwillnotbesomuch

  diminishedastherealrewardofit,andprofits,therefore,will

  notbesomuchraised。Itisevenpossiblethattheymightnotbe

  raisedatall。Thelabourersmaypreviouslyhavebeensowell

  providedfor,thatthewholeofwhattheynowlosemaybestruck

  offfromtheirotherindulgences,andtheymaynot,eitherby

  necessityorchoice,undergoanyreductioninthequantityor

  qualityoftheirfood。Toproducethefoodfortheincreased

  numbermaybeattendedwithsuchanincreaseofexpense,that

  wages,thoughreducedinquantity,mayrepresentasgreatacost,

  maybetheproductofasmuchlabour,asbefore,andthe

  capitalistmaynotbeatallbenefited。Onthissuppositionthe

  losstothelabourerispartlyabsorbedintheadditionallabour

  requiredforproducingthelastinstalmentofagricultural

  produce;andtheremainderisgainedbythelandlord,theonly

  sharerwhoalwaysbenefitsbyanincreaseofpopulation。

  2。Letusnowreverseourhypothesis,andinsteadof

  supposingcapitalstationaryandpopulationadvancing,letus

  supposecapitaladvancingandpopulationstationary;the

  facilitiesofproduction,bothnaturalandacquired,being,as

  before,unaltered。Therealwagesoflabour,insteadoffalling,

  willnowrise;andsincethecostofproductionofthethings

  consumedbythelabourerisnotdiminished,thisriseofwages

  impliesanequivalentincreaseofthecostoflabour,and

  diminutionofprofits。Tostatethesamedeductioninother

  terms;thelabourersnotbeingmorenumerous,andtheproductive

  poweroftheirlabourbeingonlythesameasbefore,thereisno

  increaseoftheproduce;theincreaseofwages,therefore,must

  beatthechargeofthecapitalist。Itisnotimpossiblethatthe

  costoflabourmightbeincreasedinevenagreaterratiothan

  itsrealremuneration。Theimprovedconditionofthelabourers

  mayincreasethedemandforfood。Thelabourersmayhavebeenso

  illoffbefore,asnottohavefoodenough;andmaynowconsume

  more:ortheymaychoosetoexpendtheirincreasedmeanspartly

  orwhollyinamorecostlyqualityoffood,requiringmorelabour

  andmoreland;wheat,forexample,insteadofoats,orpotatoes。

  Thisextensionofagricultureimplies,asusual,agreatercost

  ofproductionandahigherprice,sothatbesidestheincreaseof

  thecostoflabourarisingfromtheincreaseofitsreward,there

  willbeafurtherincrease(andanadditionalfallofprofits)

  fromtheincreasedcostlinessofthecommoditiesofwhichthat

  rewardconsists。Thesamecauseswillproduceariseofrent。

  Whatthecapitalistslose,abovewhatthelabourersgain,is

  partlytransferredtothelandlord,andpartlyswallowedupin

  thecostofgrowingfoodonworselandorbyalessproductive

  process。

  3。Havingdisposedofthetwosimplecases,anincreasing

  populationandstationarycapital,andanincreasingcapitaland

  stationarypopulation,wearepreparedtotakeintoconsideration

  themixedcase,inwhichthetwoelementsofexpansionare

  combined,bothpopulationandcapitalincreasing。Ifeither

  elementincreasesfasterthantheother,thecaseissofar

  assimilatedwithoneorotherofthetwopreceding:weshall

  supposethem,therefore,toincreasewithequalrapidity;the

  testofequalitybeing,thateachlabourerobtainsthesame

  commoditiesasbefore,andthesamequantityofthose

  commodities。Letusexaminewhatwillbetheeffect,onrentand

  profits,ofthisdoubleprogress。

  Populationhavingincreased,withoutanyfallingoffinthe

  labourer’scondition,thereisofcourseademandformorefood。

  Theartsofproductionbeingsupposedstationary,thisfoodmust

  beproducedatanincreasedcost。Tocompensateforthisgreater

  costoftheadditionalfood,thepriceofagriculturalproduce

  mustrise。Theriseextendingoverthewholeamountoffood

  produced,thoughtheincreasedexpensesonlyapplytoapart,

  thereisagreatlyincreasedextraprofit,which,bycompetition,

  istransferredtothelandlord。Rentwillrisebothinquantity

  ofproduceandincost;whilewages,beingsupposedtobethe

  sameinquantity,willbegreaterincost。Thelabourerobtaining

  thesameamountofnecessaries,moneywageshaverisen;andas

  theriseiscommontoallbranchesofproduction,thecapitalist

  cannotindemnifyhimselfbychanginghisemployment,andtheloss

  mustbebornebyprofits。

  Itappears,then,thatthetendencyofanincreaseofcapital

  andpopulationistoaddtorentattheexpenseofprofits:

  thoughrentdoesnotgainallthatprofitslose,apartbeing

  absorbedinincreasedexpensesofproduction,thatis,inhiring

  orfeedingagreaternumberoflabourerstoobtainagivenamount

  ofagriculturalproduce。Byprofits,mustofcoursebeunderstood

  therateofprofit;foralowerrateofprofitonalarger

  capitalmayyieldalargergrossprofit,consideredabsolutely,

  thoughasmallerinproportiontotheentireproduce。

  Thistendencyofprofitstofall,isfromtimetotime

  counter。actedbyimprovementsinproduction:whetherarising

  fromincreaseofknowledge,orfromanincreaseduseofthe

  knowledgealreadypossessed。Thisisthethirdofthethree

  elements,theeffectsofwhichonthedistributionoftheproduce

  weunder。tooktoinvestigate;andtheinvestigationwillbe

  facilitatedbysupposing,asinthecaseoftheothertwo

  elements,thatitoperates,inthefirstinstance,alone。

  4。Letusthensupposecapitalandpopulationstationary,and

  asuddenimprovementmadeintheartsofproduction;bythe

  inventionofmoreefficientmachines,orlesscostlyprocesses,

  orbyobtainingaccesstocheapercommoditiesthroughforeign

  trade。

  Theimprovementmayeitherbeinsomeofthenecessariesor

  indulgenceswhichenterintothehabitualconsumptionofthe

  labouringclass;oritmaybeapplicableonlytoluxuries

  consumedexclusivelybyricherpeople。Veryfew,however,ofthe

  greatindustrialimprovementsarealtogetherofthislast

  description。Agriculturalimprovements,exceptsuchasspecially

  relatetosomeoftherarerandmorepeculiarproducts,act

  directlyupontheprincipalobjectsofthelabourer’s

  expenditure。Thesteam。engineandeveryotherinventionwhich

  affordsamanageablepower,areapplicabletoallthings,andof

  coursetothoseconsumedbythelabourer。Eventhepower—loomand

  thespinningjenny,thoughappliedtothemostdelicatefabrics,

  areavailablenolessforthecoarsecottonsandwoollenswornby

  thelabouringclass。Allimprovementsinlocomotioncheapenthe

  transportofnecessariesaswellasofluxuries。Seldomisanew

  branchoftradeopened,without,eitherdirectlyorinsome

  indirectway,causingsomeofthearticleswhichthemassofthe

  peopleconsumetobeeitherproducedorimportedatsmallercost。

  Itmaysafelybeaffirmed,therefore,thatimprovementsin

  productiongenerallytendtocheapenthecommoditiesonwhichthe

  wagesofthelabouringclassareexpended。

  Insofarasthecommoditiesaffectedbyanimprovementare

  thosewhichthelabourersgenerallydonotconsume,the

  improvementhasnoeffectinalteringthedistributionofthe

  produce。Thoseparticularcommodities,indeed,arecheapened;

  beingproducedatlesscost,theyfallinvalueandinprice,and

  allwhoconsumethem,whetherlandlords,capitalists,orskilled

  andprivilegedlabourers,obtainincreasedmeansofenjoyment。

  Therateofprofits,however,isnotraised。Thereisalarger

  grossprofit,reckonedinquantityofcommodities。Butthe

  capitalalso,ifestimatedinthosecommodities,hasrisenin

  value。Theprofitisthesamepercentageonthecapitalthatit

  wasbefore。Thecapitalistsarenotbenefitedascapitalists,but

  asconsumers。Thelandlordsandtheprivilegedclassesof

  labourers,iftheyareconsumersofthesamecommodities,share

  thesamebenefit。

  Thecaseisdifferentwithimprovementswhichdiminishthe

  costofproductionofthenecessariesoflife,orofcommodities

  whichenterhabituallyintotheconsumptionofthegreatmassof

  labourers。Theplayofthedifferentforcesbeinghererather

  complex,itisnecessarytoanalyseitwithsomeminuteness。

  Asformerlyobserved,therearetwokindsofagricultural

  improvements。Someconsistinameresavingoflabour,andenable

  agivenquantityoffoodtobeproducedatlesscost,butnoton

  asmallersurfaceoflandthanbefore。Othersenableagiven

  extentoflandtoyieldnotonlythesameproducewithless

  labour,butagreaterproduce;sothatifnogreaterproduceis

  required,apartofthelandalreadyunderculturemaybe

  dispensedwith。Asthepartrejectedwillbetheleastproductive

  portion,themarketwillthenceforthberegulatedbyabetter

  descriptionoflandthanwhatwaspreviouslytheworstunder

  cultivation。

  Toplacetheeffectoftheimprovementinaclearlight,we

  mustsupposeittotakeplacesuddenly,soastoleavenotime

  duringitsintroduction,foranyincreaseofcapitalorof

  population。Itsfirsteffectwillbeafallofthevalueand

  priceofagriculturalproduce。Thisisanecessaryconsequenceof

  eitherkindofimprovement,butespeciallyofthelast。

  Animprovementofthefirstkind,notincreasingtheproduce,

  doesnotdispensewithanyportionoftheland;themarginof

  cultivation(asDrChalmerstermsit)remainswhereitwas;

  agriculturedoesnotrecede,eitherinextentofcultivatedland,

  orinelaboratenessofmethod:andthepricecontinuestobe

  regardedbythesameland,andbythesamecapital,asbefore。

  Butsincethatlandorcapital,andallotherlandorcapital

  whichproducesfood,nowyieldsitsproduceatsmallercost,the

  priceoffoodwillfallproportionally。Ifone—tenthofthe

  expenseofproductionhasbeensaved,thepriceofproducewill

  fallone—tenth。

  Butsupposetheimprovementtobeofthesecondkind;

  enablingthelandtoproduce,notonlythesamecornwith

  one—tenthlesslabour,butatenthmorecornwiththesame

  labour。Heretheeffectisstillmoredecided。Cultivationcan

  nowbecontracted,andthemarketsuppliedfromasmaller

  quantityofland。Evenifthissmallersurfaceoflandwereof

  thesameaveragequalityasthelargersurface,thepricewould

  fallone—tenth,becausethesameproducewouldbeobtainedwitha

  tenthlesslabour。Butsincetheportionoflandabandonedwill

  betheleastfertileportion,thepriceofproducewill

  thenceforthberegulatedbyabetterqualityoflandthanbefore。

  Inaddition,therefore,totheoriginaldiminutionofone—tenth

  inthecostofproduction,therewillbeafurtherdiminution,

  correspondingwiththerecessionofthe’margin’ofagriculture

  tolandofgreaterfertility。Therewillthusbeatwofoldfall

  ofprice。

  Letusnowexaminetheeffectoftheimprovements,thus

  suddenlymade,onthedivisionoftheproduce;andinthefirst

  place,onrent。Bytheformerofthetwokindsofimprovement,

  rentwouldbediminished。Bythesecond,itwouldbediminished

  stillmore。

  Supposethatthedemandforfoodrequiresthecultivationof

  threequalitiesofland,yielding,onanequalsurface,andatan

  equalexpense,100,80,and60bushelsofwheat。Thepriceof

  wheatwill,ontheaverage,bejustsufficienttoenablethe

  thirdqualitytobecultivatedwiththeordinaryprofit。The

  firstqualitythereforewillyieldfortyandthesecondtwenty

  bushelsofextraprofit,constitutingtherentofthelandlord。

  Andfirst,letanimprovementbemade,which,withoutenabling

  morecorntobegrown,enablesthesamecorntobegrownwith

  one—fourthlesslabour。Thepriceofwheatwillfallone。fourth,

  and8obushelswillbesoldforthepriceforwhich6oweresold

  before。Buttheproduceofthelandwhichproduces6obushelsis

  stillrequired,andtheexpensesbeingasmuchreducedasthe

  price,thatlandcanstillbecultivatedwiththeordinary

  profit。Thefirstandsecondqualitieswillthereforecontinueto

  yieldasurplusof40and20bushels,andcornrentwillremain

  thesameasbefore。Butcornhavingfalleninpriceone。fourth,

  thesamecornrentisequivalenttoafourthlessofmoneyandof

  allothercommodities。Sofar,therefore,asthelandlordexpends

  hisincomeinmanufacturedorforeignproducts,heisone。fourth

  worseoffthanbefore。Hisincomeaslandlordisreducedto

  three。quartersofitsamount:itisonlyasaconsumerofcorn

  thatheisaswelloff。

  Iftheimprovementisoftheotherkind,rentwillfallina

  stillgreaterratio。Supposethattheamountofproducewhichthe

  marketrequires,canbegrownnotonlywithafourthlesslabour,

  butonafourthlessland。Ifallthelandalreadyincultivation

  continuedtobecultivated,itwouldyieldaproducemuchlarger

  thannecessary。Land,equivalenttoafourthoftheproduce,must

  nowbeabandoned;andasthethirdqualityyieldedexactly

  one。fourth,(being60outof240,)thatqualitywillgooutof

  cultivation。The240bushelscannowbegrownonlandofthe

  firstandsecondqualitiesonly;being,onthefirst,100bushels

  plusone—third,or1331/3bushels;onthesecond,80bushels

  plusone—third,or1062/3bushels;together240。Thesecond

  qualityofland,insteadofthethird,isnowthelowest,and

  regulatestheprice。Insteadof6o,itissufficientif1062/3

  bushelsrepaythecapitalwiththeordinaryprofit。Thepriceof

  wheatwillconsequentlyfall,notintheratioof6oto8o,asin

  theothercase,butintheratioof60to1062/3。Eventhis

  givesaninsufficientideaofthedegreeinwhichrentwillbe

  affected。Thewholeproduceofthesecondqualityoflandwill

  nowberequiredtorepaytheexpensesofproduction。Thatland,

  beingtheworstincultivation,willpaynorent。Andthefirst

  qualitywillonlyyieldthedifferencebetween1331/3bushels

  and1062/3,being262/3bushelsinsteadof40。Thelandlords

  collectivelywillhavelost331/3outof60bushelsincornrent

  alone,whilethevalueandpriceofwhatisleftwillhavebeen

  diminishedintheratioof6oto1062/3。

  Itthusappears,thattheinterestofthelandlordis

  decidedlyhostiletothesuddenandgeneralintroductionof

  agriculturalimprovements。Thisassertionhasbeencalleda

  paradox,andmadeagroundforaccusingitsfirstpromulgator,

  Ricardo,ofgreatintellectualperverseness,tosaynothing

  worse。Icannotdiscerninwhattheparadoxconsists;andthe

  obliquityofvisionseemstometobeonthesideofhis

  assailants。Theopinionisonlymadetoappearabsurdbystating

  itunfairly。Iftheassertionwerethatalandlordisinjuredby

  theimprovementofhisestate,itwouldcertainlybe

  indefensible;butwhatisassertedis,thatheisinjuredbythe

  improvementoftheestatesofotherpeople,althoughhisownis

  included。Nobodydoubtsthathewouldgaingreatlybythe

  improvementifhecouldkeepittohimself,andunitethetwo

  benefits,anincreasedproducefromhisland,andapriceashigh

  asbefore。Butiftheincreaseofproducetookplace

  simultaneouslyonalllands,thepricewouldnotbeashighas

  before;andthereisnothingunreasonableinsupposingthatthe

  landlordswouldbe,notbenefited,butinjured。Itisadmitted

  thatwhateverpermanentlyreducesthepriceofproducediminishes

  rent:anditisquiteinaccordancewithcommonnotionsto

  supposethatif,bytheincreasedproductivenessofland,less

  landwererequiredforcultivation,itsvalue,likethatofother

  articlesforwhichthedemandhaddiminished,wouldfall。

  Iamquitewillingtoadmitthatrentshavenotreallybeen

  loweredbytheprogressofagriculturalimprovement;butwhy?

  Becauseimprovementhasneverinrealitybeensudden,butalways

  slow;atnotimemuchoutstripping,andoftenfallingfarshort

  of,thegrowthofcapitalandpopulation,whichtendsasmuchto

  raiserent,astheothertolowerit,andwhichisenabledaswe

  shallpresentlysee,toraiseitmuchhigher,bymeansofthe

  additionalmarginaffordedbyimprovementsinagriculture。First,

  however,wemustexamineinwhatmannerthesuddencheapeningof

  agriculturalproducewouldaffectprofitsandwages。

  Inthebeginning,moneywageswouldprobablyremainthesame

  asbefore,andthelabourerswouldhavethefullbenefitofthe

  cheapness。Theywouldbeenabledtoincreasetheirconsumption

  eitheroffoodorofotherarticles,andwouldreceivethesame

  cost,andagreaterquantity。Sofar,profitswouldbe

  unaffected。Butthepermanentremunerationofthelabourers

  essentiallydependsonwhatwehavecalledtheirhabitual

  standard;theextentoftherequirementswhich,asaclass,they

  insistonsatisfyingbeforetheychoosetohavechildren。If

  theirtastesandrequirementsreceiveadurableimpressfromthe

  suddenimprovementintheircondition,thebenefittotheclass

  willbepermanent。Butthesamecausewhichenablesthemto

  purchasegreatercomfortsandindulgenceswiththesamewages,

  wouldenablethemtopurchasethesameamountofcomfortsand

  indulgenceswithlowerwages;andagreaterpopulationmaynow

  exist,withoutreducingthelabourersbelowtheconditionto

  whichtheyareaccustomed。Hithertothisandnootherhasbeen

  theusewhichthelabourershavecommonlymadeofanyincreaseof

  theirmeansofliving;theyhavetreateditsimplyasconvertible

  intofoodforagreaternumberofchildren。Itisprobable,

  therefore,thatpopulationwouldbestimulated,andthatafter

  thelapseofagenerationtherealwagesoflabourwouldbeno

  higherthanbeforetheimprovement:thereductionbeingpartly

  broughtaboutbyafallofmoneywages,andpartlythroughthe

  priceoffood,thecostofwhich,fromthedemandoccasionedby

  theincreaseofpopulation,wouldbeincreased。Totheextentto

  whichmoneywagesfell,profitswouldrise:thecapitalist

  obtainingagreaterquantityofequallyefficientlabourbythe

  sameoutlayofcapital。Wethusseethatadiminutionofthecost

  ofliving,whetherarisingfromagriculturalimprovementsorfrom

  theimportationofforeignproduce,ifthehabitsand

  requirementsofthelabourersarenotraised,usuallylowers

  moneywagesandrent,andraisesthegeneralrateofprofit。

  Whatistrueofimprovementswhichcheapentheproductionof

  food,istruealsoofthesubstitutionofacheaperforamore

  costlyvarietyofit。Thesamelandyieldstothesamelaboura

  muchgreaterquantityofhumannutrimentintheformofmaizeor

  potatoes,thanintheformofwheat。Ifthelabourerswereto

  giveupbread,andfeedonlyonthosecheaperproducts,takingas

  theircompensationnotagreaterquantityofotherconsumable

  commodities,butearliermarriagesandlargerfamilies,thecost

  oflabourwouldbemuchdiminished,andiflabourcontinued

  equallyefficient,profitswouldrise;whilerentwouldbemuch

  lowered,sincefoodforthewholepopulationcouldberaisedon

  halforathirdpartofthelandnowsownwithcorn。Atthesame

  time,itbeingevidentthatlandtoobarrentobecultivatedfor

  wheatmightbemadeincaseofnecessitytoyieldpotatoes

  sufficienttosupportthelittlelabournecessaryforproducing

  them,cultivationmightultimatelydescendlower,andrent

  eventuallyrisehigher,onapotatoormaizesystem,thanona

  cornsystem;becausethelandwouldbecapableoffeedingamuch

  largerpopulationbeforereachingthelimitofitspowers。

  Iftheimprovement,whichwesupposetotakeplace,isnotin

  theproductionoffood,butofsomemanufacturedarticleconsumed

  bythelabouringclass,theeffectonwagesandprofitswillat

  firstbethesame;buttheeffectonrentverydifferent。Itwill

  notbelowered;itwilleven,iftheultimateeffectofthe

  improvementisanincreaseofpopulation,beraised:inwhich

  lastcaseprofitswillbelowered。Thereasonsaretooevidentto

  requirestatement。

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