KingsmighthelpProvidence。AnewTrajanwoulddeservetobecalledthefatherofhispeople,ifheincreasedthemarriage-rate。Malthusrepliesthatthestatisticswhichtheworthymanhimselfproducedshowedconclusivelythatthemarriagesdependeduponthedeaths。Thebirthsfillupthevacancies,andtheprincewhoincreasedthepopulationbeforevacanciesarosewouldsimplyincreasetherateofmortality。60Ifyouwanttoincreaseyourbirth-ratewithoutabsolutelyproducingfamine,asheremarksafterwards,61makeyourtownsunhealthy,andencouragesettlementbymarshes。Youmightthusdoublethemortality,andwemightallmarryprematurelywithoutbeingabsolutelystarved。Hisownaimisnottosecurethegreatestnumberofbirths,buttobesurethatthegreatestnumberofthosebornmaybesupported。62TheingeniousM。Muret,again,hadfoundaSwissparishinwhichthemeanlifewasthehighestandthefecunditysmallestknown。HepiouslyconjecturesthatitmaybealawofGodthat’theforceoflifeineachcountryshouldbeintheinverseratioofitsfecundity。’Heneedsnotbetakehimselftoamiracle,saysMalthus。63Thecaseissimplythatinasmallandhealthyvillage,wherepeoplehadbecomeawareoftheimportanceofthe’preventivecheck,’theyoungpeopleputoffmarriagetilltherewasroomforthem,andconsequentlybothloweredthebirthrateandraisedtheaveragedurationoflife。
Nothing,saysMalthusveryforcibly,hascausedmoreerrorsthantheconfusionbetween’relativeandpositive,andbetweencauseandeffect。’64Heishereansweringtheargumentthatbecausethepoorwhohadcowswerethemostindustrious,thewaytomakethemindustriouswastogivethemcows。Malthusthinksitmoreprobablethatindustrygotthecowthanthatthecowproducedindustry。
Thisisatriflinginstanceofaverygeneraltruth。Peoplehadbeencontenttonoticethedeathscausedbywaranddisease,andtoinferatoncethatwhatcauseddeathmustdiminishpopulation。Malthusshowsthenecessityofobservingothercollateralresults。Thegapmaybemadesogreatastodiminishpopulation;butitmaybecompensatedbyamorerapidreproduction;
or,therapidityofreproductionmayitselfbethecauseofthedisease;
sothattoremoveonekindofmortalitymaybeonsomeoccasiontointroduceothers。Thestreamisdammedononebreachtoflowmorestronglythroughotheroutlets。65
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