第29章
加入书架 A- A+
点击下载App,搜索"The Principles of Political Economy with some of t",免费读到尾

  Astheseprojects,howeveroftenslain,alwaysresuscitate,

  itisnotsuperfluoustoexamineoneortwoofthefallaciesby

  whichtheschemersimposeuponthemselves。Oneofthecommonest

  is,thatapapercurrencycannotbeissuedinexcesssolongaS

  everynoteissuedrepresentsproperty,orhasafoundationof

  actualpropertytoreston。Thesephrases,ofrepresentingand

  resting,seldomconveyanydistinctorwell—definedidea:when

  theydo,theirmeaningisnomorethanthis——thattheissuers

  ofthepapermusthaveproperty,eitheroftheirown,or

  entrustedtothem,tothevalueofallthenotestheyissue:

  thoughforwhatpurposedoesnotveryclearlyappear;forifthe

  propertycannotbeclaimedinexchangeforthenotes,itis

  difficulttodivineinwhatmanneritsmereexistencecanserve

  toupholdtheirvalue。Ipresume,however,itisintendedasa

  guaranteethattheholderswouldbefinallyreimbursed,incase

  anyuntowardeventshouldcausethewholeconcerntobewoundup。

  Onthistheorytherehavebeenmanyschemesfor\"coiningthe

  wholelandofthecountryintomoney\"andthelike。

  Insofarasthisnotionhasanyconnexionatallwith

  reason,itseemstooriginateinconfoundingtwoentirely

  distinctevils,towhichapapercurrencyisliable。Oneis,the

  insolvencyoftheissuers;which,ifthepaperisgroundedon

  theircredit——ifitmakesanypromiseofpaymentincash,

  eitherondemandoratanyfuturetime——ofcoursedeprivesthe

  paperofanyvaLuewhichitderivesfromthepromise。Tothis

  evilpapercreditisequallyliable,howevermoderatelyused;and

  againstit,aprovisothatallissuesshouldbe\"foundedon

  property,\"asforinstancethatnotesshouldonlybeissuedon

  thesecurityofsomevaluablethingexpresslypledgedfortheir

  redemption,wouldreallybeefficaciousasaprecaution。Butthe

  theorytakesnoaccountofanotherevil,whichisincidenttothe

  notesofthemostsolventfirm,company,orgovernment;thatof

  beingdepreciatedinvaluefrombeingissuedinexcessive

  quantity。Theassignats,duringtheFrenchRevolutionwerean

  exampleofacurrencygroundedontheseprinciples。Theassignats

  \"represented\"animmenseamountofhighlyvaluableproperty,

  namelythelandsofthecrown,thechurch,themonasteries,and

  theemigrants;amountingpossiblytohalftheterritoryof

  France。Theywere,infact,ordersorassignmentsonthismassof

  land。Therevolutionarygovernmenthadtheideaof\"coining\"

  theselandsintomoney;but,todothemjustice,theydidnot

  originallycontemplatetheimmensemultiplicationofissuesto

  whichtheywereeventuallydrivenbythefailureofallother

  financialresources。Theyimaginedthattheassignatswouldcome

  rapidlybacktotheissuersinexchangeforland,andthatthey

  shouldbeabletoreissuethemcontinuallyuntilthelandswere

  alldisposedof,withouthavingatanytimemorethanavery

  moderatequantityincirculation。Theirhopewasfrustrated:the

  landdidnotsellsoquicklyastheyexpected;buyerswerenot

  inclinedtoinvesttheirmoneyinpossessionswhichwerelikely

  toberesumedwithoutcompensationiftheRevolutionsuccumbed:

  thebitsofpaperwhichrepresentedland,becomingprodigiously

  multiplied,couldnomorekeepuptheirvaluethantheland

  itselfwouldhavedoneifithadallbeenbroughttomarketat

  once;andtheresultwasthatitatlastrequiredanassignatof

  sixhundredfrancstopayforapoundofbutter。

  Theexampleoftheassignatshasbeensaidnottobe

  conclusive,becauseanassignatonlyrepresentedlandingeneral,

  butnotadefinitequantityofland。Tohavepreventedtheir

  depreciation,thepropercourse,itisaffirmed,wouldhavebeen

  tohavemadeavaluationofalltheconfiscatedpropertyatits

  metallicvalue,andtohaveissuedassignatsupto,butnot

  beyond,thatlimit;givingtotheholdersarighttodemandany

  pieceofland,atitsregisteredvaluation,inexchangefor

  assignatstothesameamount。Therecanbenoquestionaboutthe

  superiorityofthisplanovertheoneactuallyadopted。Hadthis

  coursebeenfollowed,theassignatscouldneverhavebeen

  depreciatedtotheinordinatedegreetheywere;for——asthey

  wouldhaveretainedalltheirpurchasingpowerinrelationto

  land,howevermuchtheymighthavefalleninrespecttoother

  things——beforetheyhadlostverymuchoftheirmarketvalue,

  theywouldprobablyhavebeenbroughtintobeexchangedfor

  land。Itmustberemembered,however,thattheirnotbeing

  depreciatedwouldpresupposethatnogreaternumberofthem

  continuedincirculationthanwouldhavecirculatediftheyhad

  beenconvertibleintocash。Howeverconvenient,therefore,ina

  timeofrevolution,thiscurrencyconvertibleintolandondemand

  mighthavebeen,asacontrivanceforsellingrapidlyagreat

  quantityoflandwiththeleastpossiblesacrifice;itis

  difficulttoseewhatadvantageitwouldhave,asthepermanent

  systemofacountry,overacurrencyconvertibleintocoin:while

  itisnotatalldifficulttoseewhatwouldbeits

  disadvantages;sincelandisfarmorevariableinvaluethangold

  andsilver;andbesides,land,tomostpersons,beingratheran

  encumbrancethanadesirablepossession,excepttobeconverted

  intomoney,peoplewouldsubmittoamuchgreaterdepreciation

  beforedemandingland,thantheywillbeforedemandinggoldor

  silver。(1*)

  4Anotherofthefallaciesfromwhichtheadvocatesofan

  inconvertiblecurrencyderivesupport,isthenotionthatan

  increaseofthecurrencyquickensindustry。Thisideawasset

  afloatbyHume,inhisEssayonMoney,andhashadmanydevoted

  adherentssince;witnesstheBirminghamcurrencyschool,ofwhom

  Mr。Attwoodwasatonetimethemostconspicuousrepresentative。

  Mr。Attwoodmaintainedthatariseofpricesproducedbyan

  increaseofpapercurrency,stimulateseveryproducertohis

  utmostexertions,andbringsallthecapitalandlabourofthe

  countryintocompleteemployment;andthatthishasinvariably

  happenedinallperiodsofrisingprices,whentherisewasona

  sufficientlygreatscale。Ipresume,however,thattheinducement

  which,accordingtoMrAttwood,excitedthisunusualardourin

  allpersonsengagedinproduction,musthavebeentheexpectation

  ofgettingmorecommoditiesgenerally,morerealwealth,in

  exchangefortheproduceoftheirlabour,andnotmerelymore

  piecesofpaper。Thisexpectation,however,musthavebeen,by

  theverytermsofthesupposition,disappointed,since,all

  pricesbeingsupposedtoriseequally,noonewasreallybetter

  paidforhisgoodsthanbefore。ThosewhoagreewithMr。Attwood

  couldonlysucceedinwinningpeopleontotheseunwonted

  exertions,byaprolongationofwhatwouldinfactbeadelusion;

  contrivingmattersso,thatbyaprogressiveriseofmoney

  prices,everyproducershallalwaysseemtobeintheveryactof

  obtaininganincreasedremunerationwhichhenever,inreality,

  doesobtain。Itisunnecessarytoadverttoanyotherofthe

  objectionstothisplan,thanthatofitstotalimpracticability。

  Itcalculatesonfindingthewholeworldpersistingforeverin

  thebeliefthatmorepiecesofpaperaremoreriches,andnever

  discoveringthat,withalltheirpaper,theycannotbuymoreof

  anythingthattheycouldbefore。Nosuchmistakewasmadeduring

  anyoftheperiodsofhighprices,ontheexperienceofwhich

  thisschoollayssomuchstress。AttheperiodswhichMr。Attwood

  mistookfortimesofprosperity,andwhichweresimply(asall

  periodsofhighprices,underaconvertiblecurrency,mustbe)

  timesofspeculation,thespeculatorsdidnotthinktheywere

  growingrichbecausethehighpriceswouldlast,butbecausethey

  wouldnotlast,andbecausewhoevercontrivedtorealizewhile

  theydidlast,wouldfindhimself,aftertherecoil,in

  possessionofagreaternumberofpoundssterling,withouttheir

  havingbecomeoflessvalue。If,atthecloseofthespeculation,

  anissueofpaperhadbeenmade,sufficienttokeeppricesupto

  thepointwhichtheyattainedwhenatthehighest,noonewould

  havebeenmoredisappointedthanthespeculators;sincethegain

  whichtheythoughttohavereapedbyrealizingintime(atthe

  expenseoftheircompetitors,whoboughtwhentheysold,andhad

  tosellaftertherevulsion)wouldhavefadedawayintheir

  hands,andinsteadofittheywouldhavegotnothingexceptafew

  morepaperticketstocountby。

  Hume’sversionofthedoctrinedifferedinaslightdegree

  fromMr。Attwood’s。Hethoughtthatallcommoditieswouldnot

  riseinpricesimultaneously,andthatsomepersonstherefore

  wouldobtainarealgain,bygettingmoremoneyforwhattheyhad

  tosell,whilethethingswhichtheywishedtobuymightnotyet

  haverisen。Andthosewhowouldreapthisgainwouldalwaysbe

  (heseemstothink)thefirstcomers。Itseemsobvious,however,

  thatforeverypersonwhothusgainsmorethanusual,thereis

  necessarilysomeotherpersonwhogainsless。Theloser,if

  thingstookplaceasHumesupposes,wouldbethesellerofthe

  commoditieswhichareslowesttorise;who,bythesupposition,

  partswithhisgoodsattheoldprices,topurchaserswhohave

  alreadybenefitedbythenew。Thissellerhasobtainedforhis

  commodityonlytheaccustomedquantityofmoney,whilethereare

  alreadysomethingsofwhichthatmoneywillnolongerpurchase

  asmuchasbefore。If,therefore,heknowswhatisgoingon,he

  willraisehisprice,andthenthebuyerwillnothavethegain,

  whichissupposedtostimulatehisindustry。Butif,onthe

  contrary,thesellerdoesnotknowthestateofthecase,and

  onlydiscoversitwhenhefinds,inlayinghismoneyout,thatit

  doesnotgosofar,hethenobtainslessthantheordinary

  remunerationforhislabourandcapital;andiftheother

  dealer’sindustryisencouraged,itshouldseemthathismust,

  fromtheoppositecause,beimpaired。

  5。Thereisnowayinwhichageneralandpermanentriseof

  prices,orinotherwords,depreciationofmoney,canbenefit

  anybody,exceptattheexpenseofsomebodyelse。Thesubstitution

  ofpaperformetalliccurrencyisanationalgain:anyfurther

  increaseofpaperbeyondthisisbutaformofrobbery。

  Anissueofnotesisamanifestgaintotheissuers,who,

  untilthenotesarereturnedforpayment,obtaintheuseofthem

  asiftheywerearealcapital:andsolongasthenotesareno

  permanentadditiontothecurrency,butmerelysupersedegoldor

  silvertothesameamount,thegainoftheissuerisalosstono

  one;itisobtainedbysavingtothecommunitytheexpenseofthe

  morecostlymaterial。Butifthereisnogoldorsilvertobe

  superseded——ifthenotesareaddedtothecurrency,insteadof

  beingsubstitutedforthemetallicpartofit——allholdersof

  currencylose,bythedepreciationofitsvalue,theexact

  equivalentofwhattheissuergains。Ataxisvirtuallyleviedon

  themforhisbenefit。Itwillbeobjectedbysome,thatgainsare

  alsomadebytheproducersanddealerswho,bymeansofthe

  increasedissue,areaccommodatedwithloans。Theirs,however,is

  notanadditionalgain,butaportionofthatwhichisreapedby

  theissuerattheexpenseofallpossessorsofmoney。Theprofits

  arisingfromthecontributionlevieduponthepublic,hedoesnot

  keeptohimself,butdivideswithhiscustomers。Butbesidesthe

  benefitreapedbytheissuers,orbyothersthroughthem,atthe

  expenseofthepublicgenerally,thereisanotherunjustgain

  obtainedbyalargerclass,namelybythosewhoareunderfixed

  pecuniaryobligations。Allsuchpersonsarefreed,bya

  depreciationofthecurrency,fromaportionoftheburthenof

  theirdebtsorotherengagements:inotherwords,partofthe

  propertyoftheircreditorsisgratuitouslytransferredtothem。

  Onasuperficialviewitmaybeimaginedthatthisisan

  advantagetoindustry’。sincetheproductiveclassesaregreat

  borrowers,andgenerallyowelargerdebtstotheunproductive(if

  weincludeamongthelatterallpersonsnotactuallyinbusiness)

  thantheunproductiveclassesowetothem;especiallyifthe

  nationaldebtbeincluded。Itisonlythusthatageneralriseof

  pricescanbeasourceofbenefittoproducersanddealers;by

  diminishingthepressureoftheirfixedburthens。Andthismight

  beaccountedanadvantage,ifintegrityandgoodfaithwereofno

  importancetotheworld,andtoindustryandcommercein

  particular。Notmany,however,havebeenfoundtosaythatthe

  currencyoughttobedepreciatedonthesimplegroundofits

  beingdesirabletorobthenationalcreditorandprivate

  creditorsofapartofwhatisintheirbond。Theschemeswhich

  havetendedthatwayhavealmostalwayshadsomeappearanceof

  specialandcircumstantialjustification,suchasthenecessity

  ofcompensatingforapriorinjusticecommittedinthecontrary

  direction。

  6。ThusinEngland,formanyyearssubsequentto1819,itwas

  pertinaciouslycontended,thatalargeportionofthenational

  debt,andamultitudeofprivatedebtsstillinexistence,were

  contractedbetween1797and1819,whentheBankofEnglandwas

  exemptedfromgivingcashforitsnotes;andthatitisgrossly

  unjusttoborrowers,(thatis,inthecaseofthenationaldebt,

  toalltax—payers)thattheyshouldbepayinginterestonthe

  samenominalsumsinacurrencyoffullvalue,whichwere

  borrowedinadepreciatedone。Thedepreciation,accordingtothe

  viewsandobjectsoftheparticularwriter,wasrepresentedto

  haveaveragedthirty,fifty,orevenmorethanfiftypercent:

  andtheconclusionwas,thateitherweoughttoreturntothis

  depreciatedcurrency,ortostrikeofffromthenationaldebt,

  andfrommortgagesorotherprivatedebtsofoldstanding,a

  percentagecorrespondingtotheestimatedamountofthe

  depreciation。

  Tothisdoctrine,thefollowingwastheanswerusuallymade。

  Grantingthat,byreturningtocashpaymentswithoutloweringthe

  standard,aninjusticewasdonetodebtors,inholdingthem

  liableforthesameamountofacurrencyenhancedinvalue,which

  theyhadborrowedwhileitwasdepreciated;itisnowtoolateto

  makereparationforthisinjury。Thedebtorsandcreditorsof

  to—dayarenotthedebtorsandcreditorsof1819:thelapseof

  yearshasentirelyalteredthepecuniaryrelationsofthe

  community。,anditbeingimpossiblenowtoascertainthe

  particularpersonswhowereeitherbenefitedorinjured,to

  attempttoretraceourstepswouldnotberedressingawrong,but

  superaddingasecondactofwide—spreadinjusticetotheone

  alreadycommitted。Thisargumentiscertainlyconclusiveonthe

  practicalquestion;butitplacesthehonestconclusionontoo

  narrowandtoolowaground。Itconcedesthatthemeasureof

  1819,calledPeel’sBill,bywhichcashpaymentswereresumedat

  theoriginalstandardof3l。17s。101/2d。,wasreallythe

  injusticeitwassaidtobe。Thisisanadmissionwhollyopposed

  tothetruth。Parliamenthadnoalternative;itwasabsolutely

  boundtoadheretotheacknowledgedstandard;asmaybeshownon

  threedistinctgrounds,twooffact,andoneofprinciple。

  Thereasonsoffactarethese。Inthefirstplaceitisnot

  truethatthedebts,privateorpublic,incurredduringtheBank

  restriction,werecontractedinacurrencyoflowervaluethan

  thatinwhichtheinterestisnowpaid。Itisindeedtruethat

  thesuspensionoftheobligationtopayinspecie,didputitin

  thepoweroftheBanktodepreciatethecurrency。Itistruealso

  thattheBankreallyexercisedthatpower,thoughtoafarless

  extentthanisoftenpretended;sincethedifferencebetweenthe

  marketpriceofgoldandtheMintvaluation,duringthegreater

  partoftheinterval,wasverytrifling,andwhenitwas

  greatest,duringthelastfiveyearsofthewar,didnotmuch

  exceedthirtypercent。Totheextentofthatdifference,the

  currencywasdepreciated,thatis,itsvaluewasbelowthatof

  thestandardtowhichitprofessedtoadhere。Butthestateof

  Europeatthattimewassuch——therewassounusualan

  absorptionofthepreciousmetals,byhoarding,andinthe

  militarychestsofthevastarmieswhichthendesolatedthe

  Continent,thatthevalueofthestandarditselfwasvery

  considerablyraised:andthebestauthorities,amongwhomitis

  sufficienttonameMrTooke,have,afteranelaborate

  investigation,satisfiedthemselvesthatthedifferencebetween

  paperandbullionwasnotgreaterthantheenhancementinvalue

  ofgolditself,andthatthepaper,thoughdepreciatedrelatively

  tothethenvalueofgold,didnotsinkbelowtheordinaryvalue,

  atothertimes,eitherofgoldorofaconvertiblepaper。Ifthis

  betrue(andtheevidencesofthefactareconclusivelystatedin

  Mr。Tooke’sHistoryofPrices)thefoundationofthewholecase

  againstthefundholderandothercreditorsonthegroundof

  depreciationissubverted。

  But,secondly,evenifthecurrencyhadreallybeenlowered

  invalueateachperiodoftheBankrestriction,inthesame

  degreeinwhichitwasdepreciatedinrelationtoitsstandard,

  wemustrememberthatapartonlyofthenationaldebt,orof

  otherpermanentengagements,wasincurredduringtheBank

  restriction。Alargeparthadbeencontractedbefore1797;a

  stilllargerduringtheearlyyearsoftherestriction,whenthe

  differencebetweenpaperandgoldwasyetsmall。Totheholders

  oftheformerpart,aninjurywasdone,bypayingtheinterest

  fortwenty—twoyearsinadepreciatedcurrency:thoseofthe

  second,sufferedaninjuryduringtheyearsinwhichtheinterest

  waspaidinacurrencymoredepreciatedthanthatinwhichthe

  loanswerecontracted。Tohaveresumedcashpaymentsatalower

  standardwouldhavebeentoperpetuatetheinjurytothesetwo

  classesofcreditors,inordertoavoidgivinganunduebenefit

  toathirdclass,whohadlenttheirmoneyduringthefewyears

  ofgreatestdepreciation。Asitis,therewasanunderpaymentto

  onesetofpersons,andanoverpaymenttoanother。ThelateMr。

  Mushettookthetroubletomakeanarithmeticalcomparison

  betweenthetwoamounts。Heascertainedbycalculation,thatif

  anaccounthadbeenmadeoutin1819,ofwhatthefundholdershad

  gainedandlostbythevariationofthepapercurrencyfromits

  standard,theywouldhavebeenfoundasabodytohavebeen

  losers;sothatifanycompensationwasdueonthegroundof

  depreciation,itwouldnotbefromthefundholderscollectively,

  buttothem。

  Thusitiswiththefactsofthecase。Butthesereasonsof

  factarenotthestrongest。Thereisareasonofprinciple,still

  morepowerful。Supposethat,notapartofthedebtmerely,but

  thewhole,hadbeencontractedinadepreciatedcurrency,

  depreciatednotonlyincomparisonwithitsstandard,butwith

  itsownvaluebeforeandafter;andthatwewerenowpayingthe

  interestofthisdebtinacurrencyfiftyorevenahundredper

  centmorevaluablethanthatinwhichitwascontracted。What

  differencewouldthismakeintheobligationofpayingit,ifthe

  conditionthatitshouldbesopaidwaspartoftheoriginal

  compact?Nowthisisnotonlytruth,butlessthanthetruth。The

  compactstipulatedbettertermsforthefundholderthanhehas

  received。DuringthewholecontinuanceoftheBankrestriction,

  therewasaparliamentarypledge,bywhichthelegislaturewasas

  muchboundasanylegislatureiscapableofbindingitself,that

  cashpaymentsshouldberesumedontheoriginalfooting,at

  farthestinsixmonthsaftertheconclusionofageneralpeace。

  Thiswasthereforeanactualconditionofeveryloan;andthe

  termsoftheloanweremorefavourableinconsiderationofit。

  Withoutsomesuchstipulation,theGovernmentcouldnothave

  expectedtoborrow,unlessonthetermsonwhichloansaremade

  tothenativeprincesofIndia。Ifithadbeenunderstoodand

  avowedthat,afterborrowingthemoney,thestandardatwhichit

  wascommutedmightbepermanentlylowered,toanyextentwhichto

  the\"collectivewisdom\"ofalegislatureofborrowersmightseem

  fit——whocansaywhatrateofinterestwouldhavebeena

  sufficientinducementtopersonsofcommonsensetorisktheir

  savingsinsuchanadventure?Howevermuchthefundholdershad

  gainedbytheresumptionofcashpayments,thetermsofthe

  contractinsuredtheirgivingamplevalueforit。Theygavevalue

  formorethantheyreceived;sincecashpaymentswerenotresumed

  insixmonths,butinasmanyyears,afterthepeace。Sothat

  wavingallourargumentsexceptthelast,andconcedingallthe

  factsassertedontheothersideofthequestion,the

  fundholders,insteadofbeingundulybenefited,aretheinjured

  party;andwouldhaveaclaimtocompensation,ifsuchclaims

  werenotveryproperlybarredbytheimpossibilityof

  adjudication,andbythesalutarygeneralmaximoflawand

  policy,\"quodinterestreipublicaeutsitfinislitium。\"

  NOTES:

  1。Amongtheschemesofcurrencytowhich,strangetosay,

  intelligentwritershavebeenfoundtogivetheirsanction,one

  isasfollows:thatthestateshouldreceiveinpledgeor

  mortgage,anykindoramountofproperty,suchasland,stock,

  &c。,andshouldadvancetotheownersinconvertiblepapermoney

  totheestimatedvalue。Suchacurrencywouldnotevenhavethe

  recommendationsoftheimaginaryassignatssupposedinthetext:

  sincethoseintowhosehandsthenoteswerepaidbythepersons

  whoreceivedthem,couldnotreturnthemtotheGovernment,and

  demandinexchangelandorstockwhichwasonlypledged,not

  alienated。Therewouldbenorefluxofsuchassignatsasthese,

  andtheirdepreciationwouldbeindefinite。

  ThePrinciplesofPoliticalEconomy

  byJohnStuartMill

  Book3:Distribution

  Chapter14

  OfExcessofSupply

  1。Aftertheelementaryexpositionofthetheoryofmoney

  containedinthelastfewchapters,weshallreturntoaquestion

  inthegeneraltheoryofValue,whichcouldnotbesatisfactorily

  discusseduntilthenatureandoperationsofMoneywereinsome

  measureunderstood,becausetheerrorsagainstwhichwehaveto

  contendmainlyoriginateinamisunderstandingofthose

  operations。

  Wehaveseenthatthevalueofeverythinggravitatestowards

  acertainmediumpoint(whichhasbeencalledtheNaturalValue),

  namely,thatatwhichitexchangesforeveryotherthinginthe

  ratiooftheircostofproduction。Wehaveseen,too,thatthe

  actualormarketvaluecoincides,ornearlyso,withthenatural

  value,onlyonanaverageofyears;andiscontinuallyeither

  risingabove,orfallingbelowit,fromalterationsinthe

  demand,orcasualfluctuationsinthesupply:butthatthese

  variationscorrectthemselves,throughthetendencyofthesupply

  toaccommodateitselftothedemandwhichexistsforthe

  commodityatitsnaturalvalue。Ageneralconvergencethus

  resultsfromthebalanceofoppositedivergences。Dearth,or

  scarcity,ontheonehand,andover—supply,orinmercantile

  language,glut,ontheother,areincidenttoallcommodities。In

  thefirstcase,thecommodityaffordstotheproducersor

  sellers,whilethedeficiencylasts,anunusuallyhighrateof

  profit:inthesecond,thesupplybeinginexcessofthatfor

  whichademandexistsatsuchavalueaswillaffordtheordinary

  profit,thesellersmustbecontentwithless,andmust,in

  extremecases,submittoaloss。

  Becausethisphenomenonofover—supply,andconsequent

  inconvenienceorlosstotheproducerordealer,mayexistinthe

  caseofanyonecommoditywhatever,manypersons,includingsome

  distinguishedpoliticaleconomists,havethoughtthatitmay

  existwithregardtoallcommodities;thattheremaybeageneral

  over—productionofwealth;asupplyofcommoditiesinthe

  aggregate,surpassingthedemand;andaconsequentdepressed

  conditionofallclassesofproducers。Againstthisdoctrine,of

  whichMr。MalthusandDr。Chalmersinthiscountry,andM。de

  SismondiontheContinent,werethechiefapostles,Ihave

  alreadycontendedintheFirstBook;(1*)butitwasnotpossible,

  inthatstageofourinquiry,toenterintoacomplete

  examinationofanerror(asIconceive)essentiallygroundedona

  misunderstandingofthephenomenaofValueandPrice。The

  doctrineappearstometoinvolvesomuchinconsistencyinits

  veryconception,thatIfeelconsiderabledifficultyingiving

  anystatementofitwhichshallbeatonceclear,and

  satisfactorytoitssupporters。Theyagreeinmaintainingthat

  theremaybe,andsometimesis,anexcessofproductionsin

  generalbeyondthedemandforthem;thatwhenthishappens,

  purchaserscannotbefoundatpriceswhichwillrepaythecostof

  productionwithaprofit;thatthereensuesageneraldepression

  ofpricesorvalues(theyareseldomaccurateindiscriminating

  betweenthetwo),sothatproducers,themoretheyproduce,find

  themselvesthepoorer,insteadofricher;andDrChalmers

  accordinglyinculcatesoncapitaliststhepracticeofamoral

  restraintinreferencetothepursuitofgain;whileSismondi

  deprecatesmachinery,andthevariousinventionswhichincrease

  productivepower。Theybothmaintainthataccumulationofcapital

  mayproceedtoofast,notmerelyforthemoral,butforthe

  materialinterestsofthosewhoproduceandaccumulate;andthey

  enjointherichtoguardagainstthisevilbyanample

  unproductiveconsumption。

  2。Whenthesewritersspeakofthesupplyofcommoditiesas

  outrunningthedemand,itisnotclearwhichofthetwoelements

  ofdemandtheyhaveinview—thedesiretopossess,orthemeans

  ofpurchase;whethertheirmeaningisthatthereare,insuch

  cases,moreconsumableproductsinexistencethanthepublic

  desirestoconsume,ormerelymorethanitisabletopayfor。In

  thisuncertainty,itisnecessarytoexaminebothsuppositions。

  First,letussupposethatthequantityofcommodities

  producedisnotgreaterthanthecommunitywouldbegladto

  consume:isit,inthatcase,possiblethatthereshouldbea

  deficiencyofdemandforallcommodities,forwantofthemeans

  ofpayment?Thosewhothinksocannothaveconsideredwhatitis

  whichconstitutesthemeansofpaymentforcommodities。Itis

  simplycommodities。Eachperson’smeansofpayingforthe

  productionsofotherpeopleconsistsofthosewhichhehimself

  possesses。Allsellersareinevitablyandexviterminibuyers。

  Couldwesuddenlydoubletheproductivepowersofthecountry,we

  shoulddoublethesupplyofcommoditiesineverymarket;butwe

  should,bythesamestroke,doublethepurchasingpower。

  Everybodywouldbringadoubledemandaswellassupply:

  everybodywouldbeabletobuytwiceasmuch,becauseeveryone

  wouldhavetwiceasmuchtoofferinexchange。Itisprobable,

  indeed,thattherewouldnowbeasuperfluityofcertainthings。

  althoughthecommunitywouldwillinglydoubleitsaggregate

  consumption,itmayalreadyhaveasmuchasitdesiresofsome

  commodities,anditmayprefertodomorethandoubleits

  consumptionofothers,ortoexerciseitsincreasedpurchasing

  poweronsomenewthing。Ifso,thesupplywilladaptitself

  accordingly,andthevaluesofthingswillcontinuetoconformto

  theircostofproduction。Atanyrate,itisasheerabsurdity

  thatallthingsshouldfallinvalue,andthatallproducers

  should,inconsequence,beinsufficientlyremunerated。Ifvalues

  remainthesame,whatbecomesofpricesisimmaterial,sincethe

  remunerationofproducersdoesnotdependonhowmuchmoney,but

  onhowmuchofconsumablearticles,theyobtainfortheirgoods。

  Besides,moneyisacommodity;andifallcommoditiesare

  supposedtobedoubledinquantity,wemustsupposemoneytobe

  doubledtoo,andthenpriceswouldnomorefallthanvalues

  would。

  3。Ageneralover—supply,orexcessofallcommoditiesabove

  thedemand,sofarasdemandconsistsinmeansofpayment,is

  thusshowntobeanimpossibility。Butitmayperhapshesupposed

  thatitisnottheabilitytopurchase,butthedesireto

  possess,thatfallsshort,andthatthegeneralproduceof

  industrymaybegreaterthanthecommunitydesirestoconsume——

  thepart,atleast,ofthecommunitywhichhasanequivalentto

  give。Itisevidentenough,thatproducemakesamarketfor

  produce,andthatthereiswealthinthecountrywithwhichto

  purchaseallthewealthinthecountry;butthosewhohavethe

  means,maynothavethewants,andthosewhohavethewantsmay

  bewithoutthemeans。Aportion,therefore,ofthecommodities

  producedmaybeunabletofindamarket,fromtheabsenceof

  meansinthosewhohavethedesiretoconsume,andthewantof

  desireinthosewhohavethemeans。

  Thisismuchthemostplausibleformofthedoctrine,and

  doesnot,likethatwhichwefirstexamined,involvea

  contradiction。Theremayeasilybeagreaterquantityofany

  particularcommoditythanisdesiredbythosewhohavethe

  abilitytopurchase,anditisabstractedlyconceivablethatthis

  mightbethecasewithallcommodities。Theerrorisinnot

  perceivingthatthoughallwhohaveanequivalenttogive,might

  befullyprovidedwitheveryconsumablearticlewhichthey

  desire,thefactthattheygoonaddingtotheproductionproves

  thatthisisnotactuallythecase。Assumethemostfavourable

  hypothesisforthepurpose,thatofalimitedcommunity,every

  memberofwhichpossessesasmuchofnecessariesandofallknown

  luxuriesashedesires:andsinceitisnotconceivablethat

  personswhosewantswerecompletelysatisfiedwouldlabourand

  economizetoobtainwhattheydidnotdesire,supposethata

  foreignerarrivesandproducesanadditionalquantityof

  somethingofwhichtherewasalreadyenough。Here,itwillbe

  said,isover—production:true,Ireply;over—productionofthat

  particulararticle:thecommunitywantednomoreofthat,butit

  wantedsomething。Theoldinhabitants,indeed,wantednothing;

  butdidnottheforeignerhimselfwantsomething?Whenhe

  producedthesuperfluousarticle,washelabouringwithouta

  motive?Hehasproduced,butthewrongthinginsteadofthe

  right。Hewanted,perhaps,food,andhasproducedwatches,with

  whicheverybodywassufficientlysupplied。Thenewcomerbrought

  withhimintothecountryademandforcommodities,equaltoall

  thathecouldproducebyhisindustry,anditwashisbusinessto

  seethatthesupplyhebroughtshouldbesuitabletothatdemand。

  Ifhecouldnotproducesomethingcapableofexcitinganewwant

  ordesireinthecommunity,forthesatisfactionofwhichsome

  onewouldgrowmorefoodandgiveittohiminexchange,hehad

  thealternativeofgrowingfoodforhimself;eitheronfresh

  land,iftherewasanyunoccupied,orasatenant,orpartner,or

  servant,ofsomeformeroccupier,willingtobepartially

  relievedfromlabour。Hehasproducedathingnotwanted,instead

  ofwhatwaswanted;andhehimself,perhaps,isnotthekindof

  producerwhoiswanted;butthereisnoover—production;

  productionisnotexcessive,butmerelyillassorted。Wesaw

  before,thatwhoeverbringsadditionalcommoditiestothemarket,

  bringsanadditionalpowerofpurchase;wenowseethathebrings

  alsoanadditionaldesiretoconsume;sinceifhehadnotthat

  desire,hewouldnothavetroubledhimselftoproduce。Neitherof

  theelementsofdemand,therefore,canbewanting,whenthereis

  anadditionalsupply;thoughitisperfectlypossiblethatthe

  demandmaybeforonething,andthesupplymayunfortunately

  consistofanother。

  Driventohislastretreat,anopponentmayperhapsallege,

  thattherearepersonswhoproduceandaccumulatefrommere

  habit;notbecausetheyhaveanyobjectingrowingricher,or

  desiretoaddinanyrespecttotheirconsumption,butfromvis

  inertiae。Theycontinueproducingbecausethemachineisready

  mounted,andsaveandre—investtheirsavingsbecausetheyhave

  nothingonwhichtheycaretoexpendthem。Igrantthatthisis

  possible,andinsomefewinstancesprobablyhappens;butthese

  donotinthesmallestdegreeaffectourconclusion。For,whatdo

  thesepersonsdowiththeirsavings?Theyinvestthem

  productively。thatis,expendtheminemployinglabour。Inother

  words,havingapurchasingpowerbelongingtothem,morethan

  theyknowwhattodowith,theymakeoverthesurplusofitfor

  thegeneralbenefitofthelabouringclass。Now,willthatclass

  alsonotknowwhattodowithit?Arewetosupposethattheytoo

  havetheirwantsperfectlysatisfied,andgoonlabouringfrom

  merehabit?Untilthisisthecase;untiltheworkingclasses

  havealsoreachedthepointofsatiety—therewillbenowantof

  demandfortheproduceofcapital,howeverrapidlyitmay

  accumulate:since,ifthereisnothingelseforittodo,itcan

  alwaysfindemploymentinproducingthenecessariesorluxuries

  ofthelabouringclass。Andwhentheytoohadnofurtherdesire

  fornecessariesorluxuries,theywouldtakethebenefitofany

  furtherincreaseofwagesbydiminishingtheirwork;sothatthe

  over—productionwhichthenforthefirsttimewouldbepossible

  inidea,couldnoteventhentakeplaceinfact,forwantof

  labourers。Thus,inwhatevermannerthequestionislookedat,

  eventhoughwegototheextremevergeofpossibilitytoinventa

  suppositionfavourabletoit,thetheoryofgeneral

  over—productionimpliesanabsurdity。

  4。Whatthenisitbywhichmenwhohavereflectedmuchon

  economicalphenomena,andhaveevencontributedtothrownew

  lightuponthembyoriginalspeculations,havebeenledto

  embracesoirrationaladoctrine?Iconceivethemtohavebeen

  deceivedbyamistakeninterpretationofcertainmercantile

  facts。Theyimaginedthatthepossibilityofageneraloversupply

  ofcommoditieswasprovedbyexperience。Theybelievedthatthey

  sawthisphenomenonincertainconditionsofthemarkets,the

  trueexplanationofwhichistotallydifferent。

  Ihavealreadydescribedthestateofthemarketsfor

  commoditieswhichaccompanieswhatistermedacommercialcrisis。

  Atsuchtimesthereisreallyanexcessofallcommoditiesabove

  themoneydemand:inotherwords,thereisanunder—supplyof

  money。Fromthesuddenannihilationofagreatmassofcredit,

  everyonedislikestopartwithreadymoney,andmanyareanxious

  toprocureitatanysacrifice。Almosteverybodythereforeisa

  seller,andtherearescarcelyanybuyers;sothattheremay

  reallybe,thoughonlywhilethecrisislasts,anextreme

  depressionofgeneralprices,fromwhatmaybeindiscriminately

  calledaglutofcommoditiesoradearthofmoney。Butitisa

  greaterrortosuppose,withSismondi,thatacommercialcrisis

  istheeffectofageneralexcessofproduction。Itissimplythe

  consequenceofanexcessofspeculativepurchases。Itisnota

  gradualadventoflowprices,hutasuddenrecoilfromprices

  extravagantlyhigh:itsimmediatecauseisacontractionof

  credit,andtheremedyis,notadilutionofsupply,butthe

  restorationofconfidence。Itisalsoevidentthatthistemporary

  derangementofmarketsisanevilonlybecauseitistemporary。

  Thefallbeingsolelyofmoneyprices,ifpricesdidnotrise

  againnodealerwouldlose,sincethesmallerpricewouldbe

  worthasmuchtohimasthelargerpricewasbefore。Innomanner

  doesthisphenomenonanswertothedescriptionwhichthese

  celebratedeconomistshavegivenoftheevilofover—production。

  Thepermanentdeclineinthecircumstancesofproducers,forwant

  ofmarkets,whichthosewriterscontemplate,isaconceptionto

  whichthenatureofacommercialcrisisgivesnosupport。

  Theotherphenomenonfromwhichthenotionofageneral

  excessofwealthandsuperfluityofaccumulationseemstoderive

  countenance,isoneofamorepermanentnature,namely,thefall

  ofprofitsandinterestwhichnaturallytakesplacewiththe

  progressofpopulationandproduction。Thecauseofthisdecline

  ofprofitistheincreasedcostofmaintaininglabour,which

  resultsfromanincreaseofpopulationandofthedemandfor

  food,outstrippingtheadvanceofagriculturalimprovement。This

  importantfeatureintheeconomicalprogressofnationswill

  receivefullconsiderationanddiscussioninthesucceeding

  Book。(2*)Itisobviouslyatotallydifferentthingfromawant

  ofmarketforcommodities,thoughoftenconfoundedwithitinthe

  complaintsoftheproducingandtradingclasses。Thetrue

  interpretationofthemodernorpresentstateofindustrial

  economy,is,thatthereishardlyanyamountofbusinesswhich

  maynotbedone,ifpeoplewillbecontenttodoitonsmall

  profits;andthis,allactiveandintelligentpersonsinbusiness

  perfectlywellknow。buteventhosewhocomplywiththe

  necessitiesoftheirtime,grumbleatwhattheycomplywith,and

  wishthattherewerelesscapital,orastheyexpressit,less

  competition,inorderthattheremightbegreaterprofits。Low

  profits,however,areadifferentthingfromdeficiencyof

  demand;andtheproductionandaccumulationwhichmerelyreduce

  profits,cannotbecalledexcessofsupplyorofproduction。What

  thephenomenonreallyis,anditseffectsandnecessarylimits,

  willbeseenwhenwetreatofthatexpresssubject。

  Iknownotofanyeconomicalfacts,exceptthetwoIhave

  specified,whichcanhavegivenoccasiontotheopinionthata

  generalover—productionofcommoditieseverpresenteditselfin

  actualexperience。Iamconvincedthatthereisnofactin

  commercialaffairs,which,inordertoitsexplanation,standsin

  needofthatchimericalsupposition。

  Thepointisfundamental;anydifferenceofopiniononit

  involvesradicallydifferentconceptionsofPoliticalEconomy,

  especiallyinitspracticalaspect。Ontheoneview,wehaveonly

  toconsiderhowasufficientproductionmaybecombinedwiththe

  bestpossibledistribution;butontheotherthereisathird

  thingtobeconsidered—howamarketcanbecreatedforproduce,

  orhowproductioncanbelimitedtothecapabilitiesofthe

  market。Besides;atheorysoessentiallyself—contradictory

  cannotintrudeitselfwithoutcarryingconfusionintothevery

  heartofthesubject,andmakingitimpossibleeventoconceive

  withanydistinctnessmanyofthemorecomplicatedeconomical

  workingsofsociety。Thiserrorhasbeen,Iconceive,fatalto

  thesystems,assystems,ofthethreedistinguishedeconomiststo

  whomIbeforereferred,Malthus,Chalmers,andSismondi;allof

  whomhaveadmirablyconceivedandexplainedseveralofthe

  elementarytheoremsofpoliticaleconomy,butthisfatal

  misconceptionhasspreaditselflikeaveilbetweenthemandthe

  moredifficultportionsofthesubject,notsufferingonerayof

  lighttopenetrate。Stillmoreisthissameconfusedidea

  constantlycrossingandbewilderingthespeculationsofminds

  inferiortotheirs。Itisbutjusticetotwoeminentnames,to

  callattentiontothefact,thatthemeritofhavingplacedthis

  mostimportantpointinitstruelight,belongsprincipally,on

  theContinent,tothejudiciousJ。B。Say,andinthiscountryto

  MrMill;who(besidestheconclusiveexpositionwhichhegaveof

  thesubjectinhisElementsofPoliticalEconomy)hadsetforth

  thecorrectdoctrinewithgreatforceandclearnessinanearly

  pamphlet,calledforthbyatemporarycontroversy,andentitled,

  \"CommerceDefended;\"thefirstofhiswritingswhichattainedany

  celebrity,andwhichhepriedmoreashavingbeenhisfirst

  introductiontothefriendshipofDavidRicardo,themostvalued

  andmostintimatefriendshipofhislife。

  NOTES:

  1。Supra,vol。i。pp。66—8。

  2。Infra,bookiv。chap。4。

  ThePrinciplesofPoliticalEconomy

  byJohnStuartMill

  Book3:Distribution

  Chapter15

  OfaMeasureofValue

  1。Therehasbeenmuchdiscussionamongpoliticaleconomists

  respectingaMeasureofValue。Animportancehasbeenattachedto

  thesubject,greaterthanitdeserved,andwhathasbeenwritten

  respectingithascontributednotalittletothereproachof

  logomachy,whichisbrought,withmuchexaggeration,butnot

  altogetherwithoutground,againstthespeculationsofpolitical

  economists。Itisnecessaryhowevertotouchuponthesubject,if

  onlytoshowhowlittlethereistobesaidonit。

  AMeasureofValue,intheordinarysenseoftheword

  measure,wouldmean,something,bycomparisonwithwhichwemay

  ascertainwhatisthevalueofanyotherthing。Whenweconsider

  farther,thatvalueitselfisrelative,andthattwothingsare

  necessarytoconstituteit,independentlyofthethirdthing

  whichistomeasureit;wemaydefineaMeasureofValuetobe

  something,bycomparingwithwhichanytwootherthings,wemay

  infertheirvalueinrelationtooneanother。

  Inthissense,anycommoditywillserveasameasureofvalue

  atagiventimeandplace;sincewecanalwaysinferthe

  proportioninwhichthingsexchangeforoneanother,whenweknow

  theproportioninwhicheachexchangesforanythirdthing。To

  serveasaconvenientmeasureofvalueisoneofthefunctionsof

  thecommodityselectedasamediumofexchange。Itisinthat

  commoditythatthevaluesofallotherthingsarehabitually

  estimated。Wesaythatonethingisworth2l。,another3l。;and

  itisthenknownwithoutexpressstatement,thatoneisworth

  two—thirdsoftheother,orthatthethingsexchangeforone

  anotherintheproportionof2to3。Moneyisacompletemeasure

  oftheirvalue。

  Butthedesideratumsoughtbypoliticaleconomistsisnota

  measureofthevalueofthingsatthesametimeandplace,buta

  measureofthevalueofthesamethingatdifferenttimesand

  places:somethingbycomparisonwithwhichitmaybeknown

  whetheranygiventhingisofgreaterorlessvaluenowthana

  centuryago,orinthiscountrythaninAmericaorChina。Andfor

  thisalso,money,oranyothercommodity,willservequiteas

  wellasatthesametimeandplace,providedwecanobtainthe

  samedata;providedweareabletocomparewiththemeasurenot

  onecommodityonly,butthetwoormorewhicharenecessaryto

  theideaofvalue。Ifwheatisnow40s。thequarter,andafat

  sheepthesame,andifinthetimeofHenrytheSecondwheatwas

  20s。,andasheep10s。,weknowthataquarterofwheatwasthen

  worthtwosheep,andisnowonlyworthone,andthatthevalue

  thereforeofasheep,estimatedinwheat,istwiceasgreatasit

  wasthen;quiteindependentlyofthevalueofmoneyatthetwo

  periods,eitherinrelationtothosetwoarticles(inrespectto

  bothofwhichwesupposeittohavefallen),ortoother

  commodities,inrespecttowhichweneednotmakeany

  supposition。

  Whatseemstobedesired,however,bywritersonthesubject,

  issomemeansofascertainingthevalueofacommoditybymerely

  comparingitwiththemeasure,withoutreferringitspeciallyto

  anyothergivencommodity。Theywouldwishtobeable,fromthe

  merefactthatwheatisnow40s。thequarter,andwasformerly

  20s。,todecidewhetherwheathasvariedinitsvalue,andin

  whatdegree,withoutselectingasecondcommodity,suchasa

  sheep,tocompareitwith;becausetheyaredesirousofknowing,

  nothowmuchwheathasvariedinvaluerelativelytosheep,but

  howmuchithasvariedrelativelytothingsingeneral。

  Thefirstobstaclearisesfromthenecessaryindefiniteness

  oftheideaofgeneralexchangevalue——valueinrelationnotto

  someonecommodity,buttocommoditiesatlarge。Evenifweknew

  exactlyhowmuchaquarterofwheatwouldhavepurchasedatthe

  earlierperiod,ofeverymarketablearticleconsidered

  separately,andthatitwillnowpurchasemoreofsomethingsand

  lessofothers,weshouldoftenfinditimpossibletosaywhether

  ithadrisenorfalleninrelationtothingsingeneral。Howmuch

  moreimpossible,whenweonlyknowhowithasvariedinrelation

  tothemeasure。Toenablethemoneypriceofathingattwo

  differentperiodstomeasurethequantityofthingsingeneral

  whichitwillexchangefor,thesamesumofmoneymustcorrespond

  atbothperiodstothesamequantityofthingsingeneral,that

  is,moneymustalwayshavethesameexchangevalue,thesame

  generalpurchasingpower。Now,notonlyisthisnottrueof

  money,orofanyothercommodity,butwecannotevensupposeany

  stateofcircumstancesinwhichitwouldbetrue。

  2。Ameasureofexchangevalue,therefore,beingimpossible,

  writershaveformedanotionofsomething,underthenameofa

  measureofvalue,whichwouldbemoreproperlytermedameasure

  ofcostofproduction。Theyhaveimaginedacommodityinvariably

  producedbythesamequantityoflabour;towhichsuppositionit

  isnecessarytoadd,thatthefixedcapitalemployedinthe

  productionmustbearalwaysthesameproportiontothewagesof

  theimmediatelabour,andmustbealwaysofthesamedurability:

  inshort,thesamecapitalmustbeadvancedforthesamelength

  oftime,sothattheelementofvaluewhichconsistsofprofits,

  aswellasthatwhichconsistsofwages,maybeunchangeable。We

  shouldthenhaveacommodityalwaysproducedunderoneandthe

  samecombinationofallthecircumstanceswhichaffectpermanent

  value。Suchacommoditywouldbebynomeansconstantinits

  exchangevalue;for(evenwithoutreckoningthetemporary

  fluctuationsarisingfromsupplyanddemand)itsexchangevalue

  wouldbealteredbyeverychangeinthecircumstancesof

  productionofthethingsagainstwhichitwasexchanged。Butif

  thereexistedsuchacommodity,weshouldderivethisadvantage

  fromit,thatwheneveranyotherthingvariedpermanentlyin

  relationtoit,weshouldknowthatthecauseofvariationwas

  notinit,butintheotherthing。Itwouldthusbesuitedto

  serveasameasure,notindeedofthevalueofotherthings,but

  oftheircostofproduction。Ifacommodityacquiredagreater

  permanentpurchasingpowerinrelationtotheinvariable

  commodity,itscostofproductionmusthavebecomegreater;and

  inthecontrarycase,less。Thismeasureofcost,iswhat

  politicaleconomistshavegenerallymeantbyameasureofvalue。

  Butameasureofcost,thoughperfectlyconceivable,canno

  moreexistinfact,thanameasureofexchangevalue。Thereisno

  commoditywhichisinvariableinitscostofproduction。Goldand

  silveraretheleastvariable,buteventheseareliableto

  changesintheircostofproduction,fromtheexhaustionofold

  sourcesofsupply,thediscoveryofnew,andimprovementsinthe

  modeofworking。Ifweattempttoascertainthechangesinthe

  costofproductionofanycommodityfromthechangesinitsmoney

  price,theconclusionwillrequiretobecorrectedbythebest

  allowancewecanmakefortheintermediatechangesinthecostof

  theproductionofmoneyitself。

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