Letters on the Study and Use of History

第24章

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第24章

Letters on the Study and Use of History Henry St。 John

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  overreachedinnegotiation,andpersonallyaffrontedbyher。EnglandandHollandweresufficientlyalarmedandanimated,andapartywasnotwantingeveninourisland,readytoapproveanyengagementshewouldhavetakenagainstFranceandSpain,andinfavorofthehouseofAustria;thoughwewerelessconcerned,byanynationalinterest,thananyotherpowerthattookpartinthewar,eitherthen,orafterwards。ButthisprincewasfarfromtakingapartbeyondthatwhichtheparticularinterestofEnglandandHolland,andthegeneralinterestofEurope,necessarilyrequired。Piquemusthavenomoreaplacethanaffection,indeliberationsofthiskind。TohaveengagedtodethronePhilip,outofresentmenttoLouistheFourteenth,wouldhavebeenaresolutionworthyofCharlestheTwelfth,kingofSweden,whosacrificedhiscountry,hispeople,andhimselfatlast,tohisrevenge。TohaveengagedtoconquertheSpanishmonarchyforthehouseofAustria,ortogo,infavorofthatfamily,onestepbeyondthosethatwerenecessarytokeepthishouseonafootofrivalrywiththeother,wouldhavebeen,asIhavehinted,toactthepartofavassal,notofanally。Theformerpawnshisstate,andruinshissubjects,fortheinterestofhissuperiorlord,perhapsforhislord’shumor,orhispassion:

  thelattergoesnofurtherthanhisowninterestscarryhim;normakeswarforthoseofanother,norevenforhisown,iftheyareremoteandcontingent,asifhefoughtproarisetfocis,forhisreligion,hisliberty,andhisproperty。Agreeablytotheseprinciplesofgoodpolicy,weenteredintothewarthatbeganonthedeathofCharlestheSecond:butwesoondepartedfromthem,asIshallhaveoccasiontoobserveinconsideringthestateofthings,atthisremarkableconjuncture,inaviewofstrength。

  LetmerecallherewhatIhavesaidsomewhereelse。Theywhoareinthesinkingscaleofthebalanceofpowerdonoteasily,norsoon,comeofffromthehabitualprejudicesofsuperiorityovertheirneighbors,norfromtheconfidencethatsuchprejudicesinspire。Fromtheyearonethousandsixhundredandsixty-seven,totheendofthatcentury,Francehadbeenconstantlyinarms,andherarmshadbeensuccessful。Shehadsustainedawar,withoutanyconfederates,againsttheprincipalpowersofEuropeconfederatedagainsther,andhadfinisheditwithadvantageoneveryside,justbeforethedeathofthekingofSpain。Shecontinuedarmedafterthepeace,byseaandland。

  Sheincreasedherforces,whilstothernationsreducedtheirs;andwasreadytodefend,ortoinvadeherneighborswhilst,theirconfederacybeingdissolved,theywereinnoconditiontoinvadeher,andinabadonetodefendthemselves。

  SpainandFrancehadnowonecommoncause。TheelectorsofBavariaandColognesupporteditinGermany:theDukeofSavoywasanally,theDukeofMantuaavassalofthetwocrownsinItaly。Inaword,appearanceswereformidableonthatside:andifadistrustofstrength,onthesideoftheconfederacy,hadinducedEnglandandHollandtocompoundwithFranceforapartitionoftheSpanishsuccession,thereseemedtobestillgreaterreasonforthisdistrustaftertheacceptationofthewill,thepeaceableandreadysubmissionoftheentiremonarchyofSpaintoPhilip,andallthemeasurestakentosecurehiminthispossession。Suchappearancesmightwellimpose。Theydidsoonmany,andonnonemorethanontheFrenchthemselves,whoengagedwithgreatconfidenceandspiritinthewar;whentheyfoundit,astheymightwellexpectitwouldbe,unavoidable。ThestrengthofFrancehowever,thoughgreat,wasnotsogreatastheFrenchthoughtit,norequaltotheeffortstheyundertooktomake。Theirengagement,tomaintaintheSpanishmonarchyentireunderthedominionofPhilip,exceededtheirstrength。Ourengagement,toprocuresomeoutskirtsofitforthehouseofAustria,wasnotinthesamedisproportiontoourstrength。IfIspeakpositivelyonthisoccasion,yetIcannotbeaccusedofpresumption;because,howdisputablesoeverthesepointsmightbewhentheywerepointsofpoliticalspeculation,theyaresuchnolonger,andthejudgmentImakeisdictatedtomebyexperience。

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