Capital-3

第19章

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第19章

Capital-3 M and N

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Capital-3
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  Theoppositeistruewhenitfalls。Ifthevalueisequalto2,000,then5%=100;ifitisequalto1,000,then5%=50。Butthisdoesnotaltertheinterestrateinanyway。Therationalpartofthismatterismerelythatgreatermoneyaccommodationisrequiredwhenittakes£2,000

  tosellthesamequantityofcommoditiesthanwhenonly£1,000arerequired。Butthismerelyshowsthatprofitandinterestarehereinverselyproportionaltoeachother。Forthelowerthepricesofthecomponentsofconstantandvariablecapital,thehighertheprofitandthelowertheinterest。Buttheoppositecanalsobeandisoftenthecase。Forinstance,cottonmaybecheapbecausenodemandexistsforyarnandfabrics;andcottonmayberelativelyexpensivebecausealargeprofitinthecottonindustrycreatesagreatdemandforit。Ontheotherhand,theprofitsofindustrialistsmaybehighpreciselybecausethepriceofcottonislow。Hubbard’stableprovesthattheinterestrateandthepricesofcommoditiesexecutecompletelyindependentmovements,whereasthemovementsoftheinterestrateadherecloselytothoseofthemetalreserveandtheratesofexchange。

  TheEconomiststates:”Whenever,therefore,commoditiesareabundant,theinterestofmoneymustbelow。”Preciselytheoppositeobtainsduringcrises。Commoditiesaresuperabundant,inconvertibleintomoney,andthereforetheinterestrateishigh;inanotherphaseofthecyclethedemandforcommoditiesisgreatandthereforequickreturnsaremade,butatthesametime,pricesarerisingandbecauseofthequickreturnstheinterestrateislow。”Whenthey[thecommodities]arescarce,theinterestofmoneymustbehigh。”Theoppositeisagaintrueintheslackperiodfollowingacrisis。Commoditiesarescarce,absolutelyspeaking,notwithreferencetodemand;andtheinterestrateislow。

  Inregardtostatement,itisprettyevidentthatanownerofcommodities,providedhecansellthelatteratall,willgetridofthematalowerpricewhenthemarketisgluttedthanhewouldwhenthereisaprospectoftheexistingsupplybecomingrapidlyexhausted。Butwhytheinterestrateshouldfallbecauseofthatisnotsoclear。

  Ifthemarketisgluttedwithimportedcommodities,theinterestratemayriseasaresultofanincreaseddemandonthepartoftheownersforloancapital,inordertoavoiddumpingtheircommoditiesonthemarket。

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