Iacknowledge,(andtheexperienceof1847hasprovedtothosewhooverlookeditbefore,)thatthemischiefnowdescribed,maybewrought,andinlargemeasure,bytheBankofEngland,throughitsdepositsalone。Itmaycontinueorevenincreaseitsdiscountsandadvances,whenitoughttocontractthem:withtheultimateeffectofmakingthecontractionmuchmoresevereandsuddenthannecessary。Icannotbutthink,however,thatbankswhichcommitthiserrorwiththeirdeposits,wouldcommititstillmoreiftheywereatlibertytomakeincreasedloanswiththeirissuesaswellastheirdeposits。Iamcompelledtothinkthatthebeingrestrictedfromincreasingtheirissues,isarealimpedimenttotheirmakingthoseadvanceswhicharrestthetideatitsturn,andmakeitrushlikeatorrentafterwards……andwhentheActisblamedforinterposingobstaclesatatimewhennotobstaclesbutfacilitiesareneeded,itmustinjusticereceivecreditforinterposingthemwhentheyareanacknowledgedbenefit。Inthisparticular,therefore,Ithinkitcannotbedenied,thatthenewsystemisarealimprovementupontheold。
4。Buthoweverthismaybe,itseemstomecertainthattheseadvantages,whatevervaluemaybeputonthem,arepurchasedbystillgreaterdisadvantages。Inthefirstplace,alargeextensionofcreditbybankers,thoughmosthurtfulwhen,creditbeingalreadyinaninflatedstate,itcanonlyservetoretardandaggravatethecollapse,ismostsalutarywhenthecollapsehascome,andwhencreditinsteadofbeinginexcessisindistressingdeficiency,andincreasedadvancesbybankers,insteadofbeinganadditiontotheordinaryamountoffloatingcredit,servetoreplaceamassofothercreditwhichhasbeensuddenlydestroyed。Antecedentlyto1844,iftheBankofEnglandoccasionallyaggravatedtheseverityofacommercialrevulsionbyrenderingthecollapseofcreditmoretardyandhencemoreviolentthannecessary,itinreturnrenderedinvaluableservicesduringtherevulsionitself,bycomingforwardwithadvancestosupportsolventfirms,atatimewhenallotherpaperandalmostallmercantilecredithadbecomecomparativelyvalueless。Thisservicewaseminentlyconspicuousinthecrisisof1825—6,theseverestprobablyeverexperienced;duringwhichtheBankincreasedwhatiscalleditscirculationbymanymillions,inadvancestothosemercantilefirmsofwhoseultimatesolvencyitfeltnodoubt;advanceswhichifithadbeenobligedtowithhold,theseverityofthecrisiswouldhavebeenstillgreaterthanitwas。IftheBank,itisjustlyremarkedbyMrFullarton,(4*)
complieswithsuchapplications,\"itmustcomplywiththembyanissueofnotes,fornotesconstitutetheonlyinstrumentalitythroughwhichtheBankisinthepracticeoflendingitscredit。
Butthosenotesarenotintendedtocirculate,nordotheycirculate。Thereisnomoredemandforcirculationthantherewasbefore。Onthecontrary,therapiddeclineofpriceswhichthecaseinsuppositionpresumes,wouldnecessarilycontractthedemandforcirculation。ThenoteswouldeitherbereturnedtotheBankofEngland,asfastastheywereissued,intheshapeofdeposits,orwouldbelockedupinthedrawersoftheprivateLondonbankers,ordistributedbythemtotheircorrespondentsinthecountry,orinterceptedbyothercapitalists,who,duringthefervourofthepreviousexcitement,hadcontractedliabilitieswhichtheymightbeimperfectlypreparedonthesuddentoencounter。Insuchemergencies,everymanconnectedwithbusiness,whohasbeentradingonothermeansthanhisown,isplacedonthedefensive,andhiswholeobjectistomakehimselfasstrongaspossible,anobjectwhichcannotbemoreeffectuallyansweredthanbykeepingbyhimaslargeareserveaspossibleinpaperwhichthelawhasmadealegaltender。Thenotesthemselvesneverfindtheirwayintotheproducemarket;andiftheyatallcontributetoretard\"(or,asIshouldrathersay,tomoderate)
\"thefallofprices,itisnotbypromotingintheslightestdegreetheeffectivedemandforcommodities,notbyenablingconsumerstobuymorelargelyforconsumption,andsogivingbrisknesstocommerce,butbyaprocessexactlythereverse,byenablingtheholdersofcommoditiestoholdon,byobstructingtrafficandrepressingconsumption。\"